Fantasy & Betting

11/29/23

11 min read

2023 NFL Week 13 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

By Ian Miller

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Your league playoffs are just a couple weeks away, and your trade deadline is probably approaching. That means you should be making your last-ditch efforts to strengthen your roster before the playoffs or to grab assets with an eye on the 2024 season.

Let these rankings be a quick guide for both.

Week 13 Dynasty Rankings

Quarterback Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 3+ Premium First-Round Picks

Tier Two

Value Estimation: 3+ First-Round Picks

Tier Three

Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks

Tier Four 

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Eight

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Tier Nine

Value Estimation: Fourth-Round Pick

Big QB Movers

Dak Prescott – Ninth (previously 11th)

Dak Prescott is playing at an MVP level. Since the Dallas Cowboys’ bye week, Prescott is posting 34.7 points per game, good for the highest mark by any quarterback across that span. During that span, he’s put up 10.4 adjusted yards per attempt and a whopping 9.8 percent passing touchdown rate.

He’s up to QB3 on the season, holding 24.5 points per game with just 2.5 rushing points per game. At 30 years old, that fantasy production can last. It’s hard to see Prescott, who is regularly valued as a fringe top-12 dynasty quarterback, as anything but a buy.

Jordan Love – 18th (previously 21st)

We’re through 12 weeks of Jordan Love’s first season as the starter in Green Bay, and he’s put up formidable production and peripherals. His 20.6 points per game is good for QB12 on the season. That's on the back of an adequate 6.8 adjusted yards per attempt, a 5.1 percent touchdown rate and seven yards per attempt.

While his numbers aren’t eye-popping, it seems obvious he will be a starting quarterback moving forward, which was a risk heading into the 2023 season. Only Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Prescott, Justin Herbert, Patrick Mahomes and Brock Purdy have more weeks this season with more than 20 points.

Running Back Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 2+ First-Round Picks

Tier Two

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Three

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Four

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: Early Second-Round Pick

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Late Second-Round Pick

Tier Eight

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Big RB Movers

Kyren Williams – 10th (previously 21st)

There isn’t a soul who could’ve predicted Kyren Williams would be the RB2 with 21.1 points per game through the first 12 weeks. Possibly even more impressive is number is coming from strong peripherals.

He’s holding a 60.4 percent carry percentage, which is the seventh-highest mark among all running backs, and producing 3.20 yards per team rush attempt with it, the second-highest mark.

He’s been an efficient rusher and a receiver. His 12.4 percent target share and 0.69 yard per team pass attempt are the 14th highest among all running backs. There aren’t many running backs who should be taken ahead of Williams during the remainder of the season.

Austin Ekeler – 16th (previously 10th)

Austin Ekeler is almost 29, and his peripherals have taken a hit, resulting in a hit in his fantasy production. This season, he’s at 15.6 points per game, compared with the 21.7 points per game he posted at this point last season.

It’s not just his usage that has taken a hit. Part of his regression is due to his touchdown rate coming down to a modest 3.2 percent as compared with 5.4 percent last season.

But the sketchier part of Ekeler’s production is his lack of efficiency. He’s holding the 14th-highest carry percentage among running backs but just the 22nd-highest yards per team rush attempt. Ekeler is still getting a solid workload in a fantasy-friendly offense, but he’s not as premier of a commodity as he’s previously been. 

Zack Moss – 32nd (previously 50th)

Zack Moss is being thrust back into the role he found himself at the beginning of the season: One where Jonathan Taylor isn’t a part of the offense. That means Moss is the lead back in Indianapolis, at least for the time being. (Taylor underwent surgery on his thumb.)

>> READ: How To Handle Moss This Week

While Taylor was sidelined to start the season, Moss posted a 74 percent carry percentage and a 7.6 percent target share, good for 16.7 points per game. For now, Moss becomes a weekly start in most lineups, possibly even into the playoffs.

Wide Receiver Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: 3 First-Round Picks

Tier Two

Value Estimation: 2 First-Round Picks

Tier Three

Value Estimation: Early First-Round Pick

Tier Four

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Five

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Six

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Seven

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Big WR Movers

Tank Dell – Eighth (previously 12th)

C.J. Stroud isn’t the only draft pick that the Houston Texans smashed — Tank Dell is one of the most productive rookie wide receivers we’ve seen. His 16.3 points per game would be the fifth-highest by a rookie, only trailing Justin Jefferson, Ja’Marr Chase, Odell Beckham Jr. and Michael Thomas.

Dell is a rare asset. While he’s just a rookie and posting high-end production, he's also attached to possibly fantasy’s best situation for the foreseeable future.

If Dell was a first-round draft pick it would be hard to envision him not being at least a top-five dynasty wide receiver. Don’t let draft capital bias hold you back from acquiring Dell, even given a recent surge in cost.

Josh Downs – 29th (previously 33rd)

Josh Downs is not producing like you’d expect a third-round rookie wide receiver to. But while his 10.2 points per game aren't much, they would be the fifth-highest by a third-round wide receiver (only trailing Cooper Kupp, Terry McLaurin, T.Y. Hilton and Keenan Allen).

It’s not as if Downs' numbers are coming from a production-boosting situation — the Indianapolis Colts' offense is led by Gardner Minshew, who's throwing under 35 pass attempts per game.

That means Downs is holding strong peripherals, with his 23 percent target rate and 1.79 yards per route run. It’s hard not to get excited about Downs, who has quickly become the Colts' clear second-receiving option behind Michael Pittman Jr. 

Jayden Reed – 38th (previously 47th)

Even with Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson, Jayden Reed is holding the Green Bay Packers' highest target rate at 21 percent and the highest yards per route run at 1.77. He’s been given just 67.5 percent route participation this season. In the last two weeks, he’s been above 75 percent.

It’s a trend we should expect to have an uptick moving forward (like we expect with most productive rookie wide receivers heading into the last leg of the regular season). Reed is someone to monitor as he makes strides toward meaningful wide receiver producer.

Tight End Rankings

Tier One

Value Estimation: First-Round Pick

Tier Two

Value Estimation: Late First-Round Pick

Tier Three

Value Estimation: Second-Round Pick

Tier Four

Value Estimation: Third-Round Pick

Big TE Movers

Pat Freiermuth – Ninth (previously 14th)

All it took for the Pittsburgh Steelers' offense to start throwing into the middle of the field was the dismissal of offensive coordinator Matt Canada. Pat Freiermuth took advantage with a 25.5-point performance on the back of a 33.3 percent target share and an incredibly strong 5.22 yards per team pass attempt.

That was a long time coming for Freiermuth, who was just the sixth tight end to post double-digit points per game in his first two seasons. He’s also posted at least a 20 percent target rate in each of those seasons.

The Steelers' offense, even without Canada, isn’t likely to be above league average. But this past week showed promise in Freiermuth being a high-end producer like we’d expect.

David Njoku – 13th (previously 18th)

David Njoku posted just 9.3 points per game in the first seven weeks (likely due to a burnt face). However, he’s produced 16 points per game in the past five weeks. His season peripherals are up to a 19.9 percent target share and 1.26 yards per team pass attempt — on an unusually low 3.7 average depth of target, something that can likely be linked to his offensive environment.

It’s unfortunate Njoku is dealing with Dorian Thompson-Robinson or P.J. Walker at quarterback, but Njoku has produced quality weeks. We should still be expecting TE1-level production from him for the remainder of the season.

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Ian Miller

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Ian Miller attended Washington State University, where most of the time he was building fantasy football models when he should’ve been paying attention to lectures. That’s where he first started building his process that he continue to grow today. It’s a process that gives probability of success and range of outcomes for recruits all the way to ten year NFL veterans. It’s something Ian not only shares with the readers, but also uses in his personal fantasy leagues.