Fantasy
1/5/24
6 min read
2023 NFL Week 18 Fantasy Football Projections
At The 33rd Team, we use machine learning to project player performance and fantasy production week-to-week to help you make well-informed decisions about your lineups. In last week’s article, we were notably higher than the consensus on Jake Browning (finished QB7) and notably lower than the consensus on Ezekiel Elliott (finished RB27) and Calvin Ridley (finished WR50).
Below are the model’s projections for Week 18 by position. Each player is listed with relevant projected stats, their projected points in half-PPR and PPR leagues and their projected rank. Some short commentary is provided for some notable players for whom the model is well ahead of consensus.
Disclaimer: We do not recommend using these projections for the betting markets. The model regresses outlier predictions and performances back to an average. Though this model can aid in betting decision-making, it wasn’t modeled with that in mind.
Week 18 Projections
Quarterbacks
| Team | Player | Atts | Comp | Yards | TDs | Rushes | Yards | TDs | Fantasy Points | Fantasy Points (PPR) |
| Buffalo Bills | Josh Allen | 36.9 | 25.8 | 266 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 25 | 0.4 | 22.5 | 22.5 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | Jalen Hurts | 32 | 21.8 | 247.1 | 1.5 | 10.7 | 49.7 | 0.6 | 22.4 | 22.4 |
| Dallas Cowboys | Dak Prescott | 33.8 | 24.5 | 293.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 10.2 | 0.2 | 22.1 | 22.1 |
| Chicago Bears | Justin Fields | 36.7 | 22 | 241.2 | 1.4 | 7.6 | 43.7 | 0.3 | 19.7 | 19.7 |
| Minnesota Vikings | Nick Mullens | 38.5 | 22.2 | 265.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 11.1 | 0 | 18.1 | 18.1 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | Jake Browning | 36.4 | 22.8 | 215 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 18.8 | 0.2 | 17.2 | 17.2 |
| Arizona Cardinals | Kyler Murray | 29.9 | 20.2 | 206.8 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 32.4 | 0.5 | 17.5 | 17.5 |
| Washington Commanders | Sam Howell | 43.4 | 24.1 | 256.3 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 21.8 | 0.1 | 16.5 | 16.5 |
| Houston Texans | C.J. Stroud | 33.9 | 21.2 | 224.7 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 6.5 | 0.1 | 16.8 | 16.8 |
| Green Bay Packers | Jordan Love | 33.2 | 20.8 | 209 | 2 | 3.8 | 14.4 | 0.2 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Seattle Seahawks | Geno Smith | 32.3 | 20.2 | 240.2 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6.8 | 0.1 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | Easton Stick | 35.6 | 20.5 | 214.3 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 25.8 | 0.1 | 16.2 | 16.2 |
| Carolina Panthers | Bryce Young | 38.9 | 22.4 | 236 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 13.2 | 0 | 15.3 | 15.3 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Baker Mayfield | 33.1 | 21.3 | 225.7 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 8.5 | 0.1 | 15.4 | 15.4 |
| Indianapolis Colts | Gardner Minshew | 34.7 | 20.8 | 238.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 8 | 0.1 | 14.8 | 14.8 |
| Detroit Lions | Jared Goff | 35.6 | 19.6 | 210.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1 | 0.1 | 14.8 | 14.8 |
| Miami Dolphins | Tua Tagovailoa | 33.5 | 20.9 | 225.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 14.8 | 14.8 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | Trevor Lawrence | 35.4 | 21.2 | 227.8 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 12.5 | 0.1 | 14.6 | 14.6 |
| New Orleans Saints | Derek Carr | 35 | 22.8 | 221.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 0.1 | 14.5 | 14.5 |
| San Francisco 49ers | Sam Darnold | 30.2 | 18.1 | 226.6 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 14.4 | 14.4 |
| Atlanta Falcons | Taylor Heinicke | 33.4 | 19.2 | 209.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 0.1 | 14.2 | 14.2 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | Blaine Gabbert | 38.8 | 22.3 | 208.6 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 9.5 | 0 | 13.5 | 13.5 |
| Los Angeles Rams | Carson Wentz | 36.3 | 21.8 | 220.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 13.6 | 13.6 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | Aidan O'Connell | 30 | 18 | 205.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 0.1 | 13.5 | 13.5 |
| New York Giants | Tyrod Taylor | 30.9 | 19.3 | 200.3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 8.8 | 0.1 | 12.8 | 12.8 |
| Cleveland Browns | Jeff Driskel | 35.3 | 19.4 | 224.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7.2 | 0.1 | 12.4 | 12.4 |
| Denver Broncos | Jarrett Stidham | 31.3 | 18.8 | 162.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 10.9 | 0 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | Mason Rudolph | 34.7 | 19.9 | 198.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 12.2 | 12.2 |
| Tennessee Titans | Ryan Tannehill | 33.3 | 19.5 | 204 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 11.7 | 11.7 |
| New England Patriots | Bailey Zappe | 35.8 | 20.6 | 154.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 10.4 | 10.4 |
| New York Jets | Trevor Siemian | 30 | 18.8 | 159.2 | 1 | 1.7 | 6.8 | 0.1 | 9.8 | 9.8 |
| Baltimore Ravens | Tyler Huntley | 28.3 | 18.4 | 102.8 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 17.3 | 0.2 | 8.2 | 8.2 |
Easton Stick (QB12)
The Chargers look for one final bit of vengeance against the Chiefs for some pride to close the regular season and will have to do so with backup Easton Stick, who has thrown for 215-plus passing yards in each of his last three games but is coming off back to back games without a single passing touchdown. That streak should end this week against a Chiefs team resting several starters. Stick's big play ability, combined with his rushing upside, gives him a fantasy QB1-tier upside in Week 18.
Running backs
| Player | Rushes | Yards | TDs | Targets | Rec | Yards | TDs | Fantasy Points | Fantasy Points (PPR) |
| Travis Etienne | 20.9 | 83.5 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 25.2 | 0.1 | 18.3 | 19.8 |
| Alvin Kamara | 15.9 | 52.3 | 0.4 | 7 | 5.9 | 46.7 | 0.2 | 16.5 | 19.5 |
| Jonathan Taylor | 23.9 | 87.2 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 12.5 | 0.1 | 15.7 | 16.6 |
| Bijan Robinson | 15 | 70.6 | 0.4 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 31.7 | 0.2 | 15.6 | 17.5 |
| Kenneth Walker III | 18.9 | 86.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4.8 | 0.1 | 15.3 | 15.8 |
| Rachaad White | 17 | 66.5 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 27 | 0.1 | 15.1 | 16.7 |
| Joe Mixon | 13 | 50 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 4 | 35.7 | 0.2 | 14.8 | 16.8 |
| Tony Pollard | 19.2 | 76.5 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 11 | 0.2 | 14.7 | 15.7 |
| Aaron Jones | 15.2 | 46.5 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 27 | 0.1 | 13.3 | 14.7 |
| Jaylen Warren | 14.1 | 60.7 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 3 | 21.5 | 0.1 | 13.2 | 14.8 |
| Raheem Mostert | 14.5 | 77.6 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 9.4 | 0.1 | 12.9 | 13.5 |
| Saquon Barkley | 18.1 | 74.7 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 12.8 | 13.3 |
| James Conner | 15.4 | 74.7 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5.2 | 0.1 | 12.7 | 13.3 |
| Elijah Mitchell | 15.6 | 54.8 | 0.7 | 3 | 2.2 | 17.5 | 0.1 | 12.7 | 13.8 |
| Derrick Henry | 14.6 | 56.4 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 13.1 | 0 | 12.6 | 13.5 |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 17.2 | 64.6 | 0.3 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 21.4 | 0.1 | 12.2 | 13.8 |
| Breece Hall | 14.8 | 39.9 | 0.5 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 28.9 | 0.1 | 12 | 14 |
| Devin Singletary | 11.7 | 47.7 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 23.9 | 0.1 | 11.9 | 13.5 |
| Javonte Williams | 11.9 | 47 | 0.2 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 19.9 | 0.3 | 11.6 | 13.4 |
| James Cook | 14.4 | 59.5 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 17.1 | 0.2 | 10.7 | 11.8 |
| Austin Ekeler | 10.7 | 43 | 0.2 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 24.3 | 0.2 | 10.7 | 12 |
| D'Andre Swift | 13.5 | 62.8 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 8.3 | 0.1 | 10.6 | 11.2 |
| Zamir White | 17.3 | 79 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7.1 | 0.1 | 10.3 | 10.9 |
| Tyjae Spears | 8.8 | 40.6 | 0.2 | 5 | 3.6 | 28.1 | 0.1 | 10.1 | 11.9 |
| Kyren Williams | 5.1 | 22.5 | 0.2 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 27.2 | 0.4 | 9.9 | 11.5 |
| Devon Achane | 7.9 | 45.2 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 18.8 | 0.1 | 9.7 | 10.9 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 16.2 | 47.5 | 0.2 | 4.1 | 3 | 15.7 | 0.1 | 9.7 | 11.2 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 10.3 | 45.7 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 2 | 18.6 | 0.1 | 9.2 | 10.2 |
| Ty Chandler | 14.3 | 48.9 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 11.9 | 0.1 | 9.1 | 9.7 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 5.9 | 26.4 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 14.9 | 0.1 | 8.5 | 9.4 |
| Jerome Ford | 10.6 | 43.8 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 11.3 | 0 | 8.4 | 9.2 |
| Antonio Gibson | 7.3 | 29.1 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 21.7 | 0.1 | 8.3 | 9.5 |
| D'Onta Foreman | 7.6 | 34.1 | 0.3 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 13.5 | 0 | 8.1 | 9.5 |
| Royce Freeman | 10.2 | 38.1 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 0 | 8 | 8.5 |
| David Montgomery | 7.3 | 29 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 7.9 | 0 | 7.9 | 8.4 |
| Tyler Allgeier | 9 | 37.6 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 8.3 | 0.1 | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| Samaje Perine | 4.1 | 16 | 0 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 32.3 | 0.1 | 7.5 | 9.2 |
| Brian Robinson Jr. | 11 | 40.9 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 18 | 0 | 6.9 | 7.7 |
| Jerick McKinnon | 5.2 | 21.6 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 20.2 | 0.2 | 6.7 | 7.8 |
| Kareem Hunt | 7.9 | 29.4 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 9.2 | 0.1 | 6.6 | 7.2 |
| Khalil Herbert | 5.5 | 25.4 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 11.3 | 0 | 6.5 | 7.3 |
| Justice Hill | 4.9 | 18.8 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 21.4 | 0.1 | 6.2 | 7.6 |
| Roschon Johnson | 5.5 | 20.5 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 11.9 | 0.1 | 5.5 | 6.3 |
| Rico Dowdle | 8 | 32.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 0 | 5.4 | 5.8 |
| Alexander Mattison | 5.5 | 22.3 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 2 | 8.9 | 0.1 | 5.3 | 6.3 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 3 | 14.5 | 0 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 12.7 | 0.1 | 5.1 | 6.6 |
| Kenneth Gainwell | 3.9 | 17.9 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 0.1 | 5 | 5.9 |
| Chase Brown | 4.3 | 18.2 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 13 | 0.1 | 5 | 5.9 |
| Gus Edwards | 4.9 | 20 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1 | 13.3 | 0 | 5 | 5.5 |
| Zach Charbonnet | 3.8 | 16.3 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 10.6 | 0.1 | 4.9 | 6.1 |
| D'Ernest Johnson | 2.9 | 12.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| Joshua Kelley | 5.3 | 20 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 9.2 | 0.1 | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| Miles Sanders | 4.8 | 16.5 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5.2 | 0.1 | 4.4 | 5.1 |
Kenneth Walker III (RB5)
Ever since Seahawks running back Kenneth Walker III came back from injury, his snap share has been reduced, and he has only ranked as a top-12 running back once in that span. With Seattle’s season on the line in Week 18, that could change, and Walker draws a matchup made in heaven against one of the NFL’s worst rush defenses this season. The Seahawks’ matchup against the Cardinals could be one of the few shootouts of the slate, giving Walker great upside on the ground and at the goal line.
Elijah Mitchell (RB14)
Although the 49ers have nothing to play for in Week 18 and will start Sam Darnold, their lead running back Elijah Mitchell still holds upside as he will face a Rams defense at home that is far from invincible. Mitchell is in line to be a workhorse with Christian McCaffrey already ruled out, and San Francisco’s offense could still look surgical, giving the back top-12 ceiling at the position.
Wide Receivers
| Player | Targets | Rec | Yards | TDs | Fantasy Points | Fantasy Points (PPR) |
| CeeDee Lamb | 10.1 | 7.4 | 111.1 | 0.7 | 20 | 23.7 |
| Tyreek Hill | 10.9 | 7.6 | 75.8 | 0.6 | 14.9 | 18.7 |
| Mike Evans | 9.1 | 5.3 | 84.9 | 0.5 | 14.2 | 16.9 |
| Stefon Diggs | 9 | 6.2 | 77.9 | 0.5 | 14.2 | 17.3 |
| Nico Collins | 8.5 | 5.5 | 78.3 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 16.3 |
| DJ Moore | 10.1 | 7.1 | 70.5 | 0.4 | 13.4 | 17 |
| A.J. Brown | 8.8 | 5.9 | 75.7 | 0.4 | 13.2 | 16.1 |
| DK Metcalf | 8.9 | 4.7 | 73.1 | 0.6 | 13.1 | 15.4 |
| Justin Jefferson | 9.6 | 6.3 | 67.5 | 0.5 | 12.7 | 15.9 |
| Terry McLaurin | 9.8 | 6.7 | 70.4 | 0.3 | 12.4 | 15.7 |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | 8.7 | 6.1 | 74 | 0.3 | 12.2 | 15.3 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 9.2 | 5 | 75.4 | 0.4 | 12.2 | 14.7 |
| DeVonta Smith | 7.4 | 5.2 | 68.2 | 0.3 | 11.4 | 14 |
| Chris Godwin | 8.3 | 5.3 | 58.4 | 0.4 | 11.3 | 13.9 |
| Adam Thielen | 9.3 | 5.8 | 60 | 0.4 | 11.1 | 14 |
| Drake London | 8 | 5.4 | 60.8 | 0.4 | 11 | 13.7 |
| Davante Adams | 8.3 | 4.5 | 55.5 | 0.5 | 10.9 | 13.2 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 8.2 | 4.8 | 58.4 | 0.4 | 10.8 | 13.2 |
| Chris Olave | 8.8 | 5 | 59.9 | 0.4 | 10.8 | 13.3 |
| Calvin Ridley | 7.2 | 4.8 | 60.3 | 0.3 | 10.5 | 13 |
| Tyler Lockett | 6.5 | 4.6 | 50.2 | 0.5 | 10.5 | 12.8 |
| Brandin Cooks | 5.9 | 4.1 | 55.9 | 0.4 | 10.2 | 12.3 |
| Curtis Samuel | 7.6 | 5.4 | 50.3 | 0.3 | 9.6 | 12.3 |
| Jayden Reed | 5.8 | 4.1 | 48.8 | 0.4 | 9.6 | 11.6 |
| Rashid Shaheed | 6.1 | 3.7 | 54.7 | 0.2 | 9.3 | 11.2 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 6.5 | 4.2 | 54.7 | 0.3 | 9.3 | 11.4 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 6.8 | 3.7 | 52.5 | 0.3 | 9.2 | 11 |
| Josh Downs | 7.8 | 4.3 | 52.5 | 0.3 | 9 | 11.2 |
| Jordan Addison | 6.7 | 4.1 | 46.6 | 0.4 | 8.9 | 11 |
| Garrett Wilson | 9 | 5 | 47 | 0.3 | 8.9 | 11.4 |
| George Pickens | 6.9 | 3.6 | 48.1 | 0.3 | 8.8 | 10.6 |
| Demarcus Robinson | 6.4 | 3.6 | 58 | 0.2 | 8.8 | 10.6 |
| Jerry Jeudy | 5.5 | 4.1 | 48.2 | 0.3 | 8.8 | 10.9 |
| Christian Watson | 6.6 | 3.3 | 44.3 | 0.4 | 8.7 | 10.4 |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 6.9 | 4.5 | 41.2 | 0.3 | 8.7 | 10.9 |
| Diontae Johnson | 7.8 | 4.5 | 48.4 | 0.3 | 8.7 | 10.9 |
| Ronnie Bell | 5.3 | 3.6 | 48.5 | 0.2 | 8 | 9.8 |
| Jonathan Mingo | 7.8 | 4.1 | 42.1 | 0.2 | 7.7 | 9.7 |
| Courtland Sutton | 7 | 4.9 | 52.2 | 0 | 7.7 | 10.1 |
| Josh Reynolds | 5.3 | 3.3 | 43 | 0.3 | 7.6 | 9.2 |
| Demario Douglas | 6.3 | 3.9 | 39.5 | 0.3 | 7.5 | 9.5 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 7.1 | 5.2 | 29 | 0.3 | 7.5 | 10.1 |
| Gabe Davis | 4.6 | 2.8 | 39.2 | 0.3 | 7.3 | 8.7 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 4.8 | 2.6 | 48.3 | 0.2 | 7.3 | 8.6 |
| Khalil Shakir | 4.6 | 2.8 | 43.3 | 0.2 | 7 | 8.4 |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 5 | 3 | 39.5 | 0.2 | 6.9 | 8.4 |
| DJ Chark | 4.9 | 3.1 | 40.4 | 0.2 | 6.9 | 8.5 |
| Parker Washington | 5.8 | 4.1 | 33.4 | 0.2 | 6.9 | 8.9 |
| Romeo Doubs | 5 | 3.4 | 36.2 | 0.2 | 6.8 | 8.5 |
| Cooper Kupp | 4.5 | 2.6 | 41.5 | 0.2 | 6.6 | 7.9 |
| John Metchie III | 4.2 | 2.8 | 28 | 0.4 | 6.5 | 7.8 |
| Michael Wilson | 4.5 | 2.9 | 40.7 | 0.2 | 6.4 | 7.9 |
| Darius Slayton | 4.6 | 3.1 | 38.1 | 0.2 | 6.4 | 8 |
| Quentin Johnston | 5.3 | 3.1 | 36.1 | 0.2 | 6.4 | 8 |
| Deebo Samuel | 3 | 2.2 | 26.2 | 0.2 | 6.4 | 7.5 |
| DeVante Parker | 5.4 | 3.1 | 33.6 | 0.2 | 6.3 | 7.9 |
| Jahan Dotson | 4.3 | 2.8 | 32.8 | 0.3 | 6.3 | 7.7 |
| Rondale Moore | 4.5 | 2.8 | 26.6 | 0.2 | 6.2 | 7.6 |
| Robbie Chosen | 5.4 | 3.2 | 30.4 | 0.3 | 6.2 | 7.8 |
| Marquise Brown | 5.2 | 2.7 | 29.9 | 0.3 | 6 | 7.4 |
| Puka Nacua | 4.5 | 2.6 | 36 | 0.2 | 5.8 | 7.1 |
| Justin Watson | 5.8 | 3 | 32.7 | 0.2 | 5.7 | 7.2 |
| Zay Jones | 4.4 | 3 | 25.4 | 0.3 | 5.7 | 7.2 |
| Alec Pierce | 3.5 | 2.3 | 34.7 | 0.2 | 5.7 | 6.8 |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 4.2 | 2.3 | 29.7 | 0.3 | 5.7 | 6.8 |
| Trey Palmer | 4 | 2.6 | 23.7 | 0.3 | 5.7 | 7 |
| Tyler Boyd | 5.5 | 3.3 | 25.6 | 0.2 | 5.6 | 7.3 |
| Cedric Tillman | 5.3 | 3 | 29.6 | 0.2 | 5.4 | 6.9 |
| K.J. Osborn | 3.9 | 2.3 | 18.3 | 0.4 | 5.4 | 6.5 |
| Rashod Bateman | 3.5 | 2.4 | 33 | 0.1 | 5.1 | 6.3 |
| Jalen Tolbert | 4.2 | 2.4 | 26.7 | 0.2 | 5.1 | 6.3 |
| Jalen Guyton | 5.3 | 2.7 | 19.8 | 0.3 | 5.1 | 6.4 |
| Robert Woods | 4.2 | 2.4 | 24.8 | 0.2 | 5 | 6.2 |
| Greg Dortch | 3.7 | 2.7 | 28.2 | 0.1 | 4.9 | 6.2 |
| Michael Gallup | 2.5 | 1.8 | 31.8 | 0.1 | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| Jalin Hyatt | 3.9 | 1.8 | 31.5 | 0.1 | 4.6 | 5.5 |
| Kalif Raymond | 3.4 | 2.1 | 28 | 0.1 | 4.4 | 5.5 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | 3 | 2.3 | 17.7 | 0.2 | 4.1 | 5.2 |
| Xavier Gipson | 3 | 2.1 | 15.1 | 0.1 | 3.9 | 5 |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | 3.1 | 1.9 | 22 | 0.1 | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| Rashee Rice | 2.9 | 2 | 21.5 | 0.1 | 3.9 | 4.9 |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | 4.5 | 3 | 22.7 | 0 | 3.8 | 5.3 |
| Treylon Burks | 3.3 | 1.7 | 21.6 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| D.J. Montgomery | 3.5 | 1.9 | 14.1 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 4.4 |
| Brandon Powell | 3.9 | 2.5 | 15.9 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 4.5 |
| Trenton Irwin | 1.8 | 1.3 | 14.3 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| Hunter Renfrow | 2.3 | 1.6 | 12.2 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 3.5 |
| Deonte Harty | 1.8 | 1.1 | 10 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 3 |
| Nelson Agholor | 1.4 | 1 | 14.3 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| Isaiah Hodgins | 2.3 | 1.4 | 8.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Allen Robinson | 1.7 | 1 | 8.8 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| DeAndre Carter | 0.8 | 0.5 | 6.9 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Quez Watkins | 0.8 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Allen Lazard | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Danny Gray | 0.8 | 0.5 | 6.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Zach Pascal | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5.4 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Calvin Austin III | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 |
| Parris Campbell | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 0 | 1 | 1.2 |
| Ben Skowronek | 0.9 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 0 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
Jordan Addison (WR29)
Rookie wide receiver Jordan Addison has been the definition of boom-or-bust, but the results have usually not been his fault. Although the quarterback roulette of the Minnesota Vikings has plagued consistency in their offense, Addison has remained one of the top red zone targets in the league and has averaged 77.7 air yards per game over his last six games.
Now, he draws a Detroit Lions pass defense that ranks among the league’s worst since they came off their bye in Week 10. The Vikings have a sliver of hope for a spot in the playoffs and will be going all out seeking a win in Week 18 — Addison has immense upside in this spot.
Tight Ends
| Player | Targets | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Receiving TDs | Fantasy Points | Fantasy Points (PPR) |
| Jake Ferguson | 6.8 | 4.3 | 52.3 | 0.6 | 10.8 | 12.9 |
| Trey McBride | 7.5 | 5.2 | 57.9 | 0.3 | 10.2 | 12.8 |
| Gerald Everett | 7.1 | 4.6 | 49.3 | 0.4 | 9.8 | 12.1 |
| Dalton Schultz | 6.8 | 4.4 | 44.9 | 0.4 | 9.3 | 11.5 |
| Cole Kmet | 7.3 | 5.6 | 42 | 0.3 | 9 | 11.8 |
| Dalton Kincaid | 7.4 | 5.2 | 41.2 | 0.4 | 9 | 11.6 |
| Darren Waller | 6.9 | 4.8 | 46.7 | 0.3 | 8.8 | 11.2 |
| Dallas Goedert | 5.6 | 4 | 51.6 | 0.3 | 8.7 | 10.7 |
| Evan Engram | 8.1 | 5.9 | 42.3 | 0.2 | 8.6 | 11.6 |
| Kyle Pitts | 7 | 4.6 | 46.6 | 0.2 | 8.4 | 10.7 |
| Logan Thomas | 6.5 | 4.6 | 43.2 | 0.3 | 8.2 | 10.5 |
| Noah Gray | 4.8 | 3.8 | 48.2 | 0.2 | 7.9 | 9.8 |
| David Njoku | 7.1 | 4.2 | 41.3 | 0.2 | 7.5 | 9.6 |
| Tucker Kraft | 5.8 | 2.9 | 35.1 | 0.4 | 7.3 | 8.8 |
| Dawson Knox | 5.5 | 3.9 | 30.9 | 0.3 | 7 | 8.9 |
| Johnny Mundt | 6.7 | 4 | 30.5 | 0.3 | 7 | 9 |
| Jonnu Smith | 5 | 3.5 | 34 | 0.2 | 6.6 | 8.4 |
| Juwan Johnson | 6.1 | 3.7 | 30.2 | 0.3 | 6.4 | 8.2 |
| Cade Otton | 5 | 3.3 | 29.5 | 0.3 | 6.1 | 7.8 |
| Durham Smythe | 5.4 | 3.6 | 30.2 | 0.2 | 6.1 | 7.8 |
| Chigoziem Okonkwo | 5.8 | 3.8 | 29.8 | 0.2 | 5.9 | 7.8 |
| Hunter Henry | 4.5 | 2.8 | 22.3 | 0.3 | 5.7 | 7.1 |
| Sam LaPorta | 3.6 | 2.7 | 24.7 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 6.5 |
| George Kittle | 3 | 2.3 | 29.9 | 0.2 | 5.1 | 6.2 |
| Pat Freiermuth | 4.5 | 2.8 | 25.1 | 0.2 | 5 | 6.4 |
| Tanner Hudson | 3.6 | 2.7 | 21 | 0.2 | 4.6 | 5.9 |
| Colby Parkinson | 4 | 2.6 | 21.3 | 0.2 | 4.6 | 5.9 |
| Tommy Tremble | 4.9 | 2.9 | 18 | 0.2 | 4.4 | 5.9 |
| Tyler Conklin | 3.8 | 2.7 | 25.8 | 0.1 | 4.4 | 5.8 |
| Adam Trautman | 3.1 | 2.3 | 15.1 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 |
| Mike Gesicki | 2.7 | 1.5 | 14.5 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| Isaiah Likely | 2.1 | 1.6 | 18.2 | 0.1 | 3 | 3.9 |
| Kylen Granson | 2.6 | 1.3 | 9.3 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| Will Dissly | 1.6 | 1.1 | 8.9 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| Austin Hooper | 1.5 | 1.2 | 9 | 0.1 | 2 | 2.6 |
| Daniel Bellinger | 1.5 | 1.1 | 12 | 0 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Taysom Hill | 0.9 | 0.6 | 6.1 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Irv Smith Jr. | 0.9 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
Dawson Knox (TE15)
The most meaningful game of the Week 18 slate for both teams involved is Sunday Night Football when the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins fight for the AFC East division title. While the rookie tight end Dalton Kincaid remains involved in Buffalo’s passing attack, veteran Dawson Knox is still a huge red zone threat and now draws a Dolphins defense that has been porous against tight ends all season long. In the event of a close, high-powered offensive game, Knox could be the star of DFS lineups in the closing moments of the regular season.
