Analysis

9/27/23

18 min read

2023 NFL Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings

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Sep 24, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson (18) celebrates his first down against the Los Angeles Chargers in the second quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

Below, you’ll find 2023 Week 4 fantasy rankings for points per reception (PPR) and half-PPR leagues. You’ll find 32 ranked quarterbacks, 50 ranked running backs, 63 ranked wide receivers, and 22 ranked tight ends.

For a more in-depth explanation behind all the columns in these tables, click HERE.

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Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings

Top 32 Quarterbacks

Rank Player Average Larky Rank Hill Rank Wheeler Rank Team Opp Team Total xPPR Proj
1 Josh Allen 1.7 3 1 1 BUF MIA 28.25 18.1 22.2
2 Jalen Hurts 2 2 2 2 PHI WAS 26.25 24.5 20.5
3 Justin Herbert 4 4 4 4 LAC LV 27 20.2 20.8
4 Tua Tagovailoa 4.3 1 5 7 MIA BUF 25.25 19.1 20
5 Patrick Mahomes 4.3 7 3 3 KC NYJ 26 21.4 22.7
6 Anthony Richardson 5.3 5 6 5 IND LA 24.25 16.1 16.2
7 Kirk Cousins 6.7 6 8 6 MIN CAR 24.5 18.6 19.2
8 Joe Burrow 8.7 8 9 9 CIN TEN 22 12.8 17
9 Daniel Jones 9.7 10 11 8 NYG SEA 24.25 18 15.4
10 Lamar Jackson 9.7 12 7 10 BAL CLE 19.25 16.6 19.5
11 Russell Wilson 11.7 9 12 14 DEN CHI 24.5 17.9 17.8
12 Trevor Lawrence 12.7 16 10 12 JAX ATL 23 17.8 18.3
13 Brock Purdy 13.3 15 14 11 SF ARI 28.75 15.6 16.3
14 Justin Fields 14.3 17 13 13 CHI DEN 21.5 18.3 17.9
15 Geno Smith 14.7 13 16 15 SEA NYG 22.75 16.7 16.7
16 Jordan Love 15 14 15 16 GB DET 22.25 18.6 15.3
17 Matthew Stafford 16.7 11 19 20 LA IND 22.75 18.4 16.1
18 Jared Goff 19 18 18 21 DET GB 23.75 14.7 17
19 Dak Prescott 19.3 19 20 19 DAL NE 25.25 16.7 18.2
20 C.J. Stroud 21.3 25 21 18 HOU PIT 19.5 17.5 15.3
21 Derek Carr 22 20 - 24 NO TB 21.75 15.2 15.2
22 Kenny Pickett 24.3 27 23 23 PIT HOU 22.5 14.1 15.1
23 Sam Howell 25 22 26 27 WAS PHI 18.25 14.2 14.7
24 Baker Mayfield 25.3 26 24 26 TB NO 18.75 18.9 15.5
25 Bryce Young 25.7 21 34 22 CAR MIN 21 12.6 13.8
26 Desmond Ridder 26.7 23 29 28 ATL JAX 20 14.1 13.9
27 Aidan O'Connell 27 29 - 25 LV LAC 21 - -
28 Mac Jones 29.3 31 28 29 NE DAL 18.25 14.9 15.8
29 Ryan Tannehill 30 28 31 31 TEN CIN 19.5 13.6 12.5
30 Joshua Dobbs 30 30 30 30 ARI SF 14.75 13.1 14.6
31 Dorian Thompson-Robinson 30.5 24 - 37 CLE BAL 21.75 - -
32 Zach Wilson 32 32 32 32 NYJ KC 16.5 12 12

Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert faces an atrocious Las Vegas Raiders secondary that has allowed seven touchdown passes without an interception this season. Another 300-yard game with multiple passing touchdowns is likely for Herbert in Week 4. — Josh Larky

 Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings

Kirk Cousins has thrown for at least 344 yards in every game and is an every-week starter in fantasy football. — Josh Larky

 Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals

He’s been frustrating through three weeks, but next up are the Tennessee Titans, an extreme pass funnel defense. The Titans allow a league-low 2.7 yards per carry to running backs while giving up 8.3 yards per pass attempt. Last week, Deshaun Watson returned to form, completing 82 percent of his passes for 289 yards and two touchdowns against the Titans. Joe Burrow’s time is coming in Week 4. — Josh Larky

Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos

Facing a Chicago Bears secondary that has suffered from a complete lack of a pass rush, Russell Wilson should make it three consecutive weeks with at least 300 yards passing. — Josh Larky

Daniel Jones, New York Giants

Daniel Jones has been incredibly matchup-dependent through three weeks, and Week 4 looks like his second good spot of the season. He’ll face a Seattle Seahawks defense that’s allowed at least 323 passing yards to each quarterback it has faced. — Josh Larky

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

The New England Patriots already contained Jalen Hurts and Tua Tagovailoa this season and have yet to allow any quarterback to reach 13 fantasy points. Those with Dak Prescott should search for a better option on waivers this week. — Josh Larky

 C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud has set an NFL record with 121 passes without an interception to start his NFL career. He passed for 906 yards and four touchdowns in his first three games. Stroud is averaging 302 yards per game and is on pace to finish the season with 5,134 passing yards and 22 touchdown passes. He is unlikely to keep up the yardage pace, but he certainly can be considered for spot-starts through the bye weeks. — Kev Wheeler

 Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers

Bryce Young is a desperation streaming option this week against the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings shut down running backs in Weeks 1 and 3, and their defense is much more exploitable through the air. To this point, quarterbacks are averaging nearly eight yards per pass attempt against the Vikings. Note: While the Vikings gave up nearly 200 yards to D’Andre Swift in Week 2, that says more about the Philadelphia Eagles offensive line than the Minnesota defense. — Josh Larky

Top 50 Running Backs

Rank Player Average Larky Rank Hill Rank Wheeler Rank Team Opp Team Total xPPR Proj
1 Christian McCaffrey 1 1 1 1 SF ARI 28.75 18.5 18.9
2 Tony Pollard 2.3 3 2 2 DAL NE 25.25 21.5 18.5
3 Bijan Robinson 2.7 2 3 3 ATL JAX 20.00 15.9 18.7
4 Travis Etienne 5.3 4 6 6 JAX ATL 23.00 13.6 15.4
5 Kenneth Walker 5.3 5 4 7 SEA NYG 22.75 16.7 16.8
6 Josh Jacobs 7 11 5 5 LV LAC 21.00 15.6 18.2
7 Derrick Henry 7.7 12 7 4 TEN CIN 19.50 14.1 16.6
8 Zack Moss 8.3 6 8 11 IND LA 24.25 19.1 13.7
9 James Cook 9 7 12 8 BUF MIA 28.25 13.1 14.4
10 Kyren Williams 10.7 14 9 9 LA IND 22.75 19.7 14
11 Aaron Jones 12.7 8 14 16 GB DET 22.25 16.7 10
12 Raheem Mostert 13.3 16 10 14 MIA BUF 25.25 19.4 12.7
13 D'Andre Swift 13.7 17 11 13 PHI WAS 26.25 13.7 13.4
14 Alvin Kamara 14.7 9 13 22 NO TB 21.75 - 13
15 Jahmyr Gibbs 15.3 13 15 18 DET GB 23.75 11.2 13.3
16 Rhamondre Stevenson 15.7 19 18 10 NE DAL 18.25 13.2 16.2
17 David Montgomery 18.7 10 27 19 DET GB 23.75 12.1 10.8
18 De'Von Achane 19 15 19 23 MIA BUF 25.25 17.9 12.3
19 Alexander Mattison 19 24 16 17 MIN CAR 24.50 16.2 10.8
20 Joe Mixon 19.3 20 17 21 CIN TEN 22.00 13.4 14.5
21 Rachaad White 20.3 21 25 15 TB NO 18.75 14.2 14.3
22 Javonte Williams 20.7 29 21 12 DEN CHI 24.50 11.2 13.6
23 James Conner 24 23 24 25 ARI SF 14.75 14.6 14.2
24 Miles Sanders 24 26 20 26 CAR MIN 21.00 15.6 12.8
25 Breece Hall 24.7 28 26 20 NYJ KC 16.50 6.5 10.9
26 Joshua Kelley 25.3 18 31 27 LAC LV 27.00 10.2 12.2
27 Brian Robinson 25.3 25 23 28 WAS PHI 18.25 13.4 12.3
28 Jerome Ford 26 27 22 29 CLE BAL 21.75 12.4 13.2
29 Isiah Pacheco 27.7 31 28 24 KC NYJ 26.00 13.1 10.8
30 Dameon Pierce 29 22 32 33 HOU PIT 19.50 11.6 11.2
31 Najee Harris 30.3 30 29 32 PIT HOU 22.50 7.3 12.5
32 Jaylen Warren 31.3 33 30 31 PIT HOU 22.50 9.7 12.8
33 Khalil Herbert 33 35 34 30 CHI DEN 21.50 8 10.3
34 Matt Breida 34.7 32 36 36 NYG SEA 24.25 3.3 7.9
35 Roschon Johnson 34.7 36 33 35 CHI DEN 21.50 9.2 9.3
36 Tyler Allgeier 35.3 37 35 34 ATL JAX 20.00 11.5 11.8
37 Zach Charbonnet 39.3 34 46 38 SEA NYG 22.75 6 6.2
38 Ezekiel Elliott 40.7 41 38 43 NE DAL 18.25 6.6 9.2
39 Gus Edwards 40.7 44 37 41 BAL CLE 19.25 5.9 6.8
40 Chuba Hubbard 41.3 42 42 40 CAR MIN 21.00 6.7 7.4
41 AJ Dillon 41.7 45 41 39 GB DET 22.25 9.1 8.7
42 Kenneth Gainwell 41.7 49 39 37 PHI WAS 26.25 12.1 8.3
43 Antonio Gibson 44.3 39 49 45 WAS PHI 18.25 5.5 7.9
44 Tyjae Spears 46.3 46 45 48 TEN CIN 19.50 7.2 5.8
45 Dalvin Cook 47.3 40 47 55 NYJ KC 16.50 7.2 8.1
46 Kareem Hunt 48 47 48 49 CLE BAL 21.75 6.4 7.7
47 Devin Singletary 49.7 48 55 46 HOU PIT 19.50 4.3 -
48 Latavius Murray 52.7 43 51 64 BUF MIA 28.25 7.2 -
49 Justice Hill 53.7 38 66 57 BAL CLE 19.25 10.2 9.5
50 Tony Jones 60.7 50 59 73 NO TB 21.75 7.6 -

Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders

Josh Jacobs has 90 percent of the team’s rush attempts and 64 percent of the running back targets. Now, he faces a Chargers team that invites opponents to run against them. Alexander Mattison nearly reached 100 rushing yards last week, and Jacobs is a strong threat to hit triple digits in Week 4. — Josh Larky

 Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons

The percentage of running back rushes for Bijan Robinson has increased each week, going from 40 percent in Week 1 to 54 percent in Week 2 and nearly 59 percent in Week 3. Robinson might be the most agile running back since Barry Sanders with power like Marshawn Lynch. He faces a solid Jaguars run defense in Week 4, but it shouldn’t matter. — Kev Wheeler

James Cook, Buffalo Bills

Through two weeks, James Cook saw only two of the 10 red zone carries and none of the five carries at the goal line (within 5 yards of scoring). In Week 3, Cook received one of the three goal-line carries, along with the other two red zone carries. He’s had strong volume on the ground and through the air, and his ranking reflects the touchdown upside he has — assuming the red zone workload continues. — Josh Larky

 Travis Etienne, Jacksonville Jaguars

Travis Etienne has had a 12 percent target share in two of the three games this season. He never hit a 12 percent target share in a game last year. He faces a tough Atlanta run defense in Week 4, so we should lower expectations. — Kev Wheeler

Seattle Seahawks backfield

Kenneth Walker topped 30 fantasy points in Week 3, but rookie Zach Charbonnet nearly tied him in snaps and ran more routes. Walker is still a great option against the New York Giants this week, but he’s trending toward being a sell, while Charbonnet is a redraft buy, given his usage. As runners, Charbonnet has twice as many rushing yards over expected per carry compared to Walker, via Next Gen Stats. — Josh Larky

 Zack Moss, Indianapolis Colts

Zack Moss had 22 touches in Week 2, then followed that up with 32 touches in Week 3. With Jonathan Taylor potentially returning in Week 5, this may be the Indianapolis Colts’ final week to ride Moss. He’s played well to this point, and the entire Colts offense has been much more functional than expected. — Josh Larky

 Lions backfield

David Montgomery’s return might actually help Jahmyr Gibbs. In Week 3, Gibbs was miscast as a between-the-tackles runner, totaling 17 carries but only receiving two targets. Gibbs’ fantasy upside lies in his pass-catching ability, and while he’s unlikely to give us nine targets as he did in Week 2, he should easily crest last week’s two targets against the Green Bay Packers on Thursday. — Josh Larky

 Dameon Pierce, Houston Texans

In a positive game script, Dameon Pierce played 54 percent of Houston's offensive snaps. He should only be considered a desperation flex-play. — Kev Wheeler

 De’Von Achane, Miami Dolphins

His 51.3 PPR fantasy points in Week 3 were the 10th-highest total since 2013. The nine names ahead of him on that list should inspire confidence in him for the rest of season: Jamaal Charles, Tyreek Hill, Alvin Kamara, Ja’Marr Chase, Joe Mixon, Will Fuller, Jonathan Taylor, Tyler Lockett and Le’Veon Bell. De'Von Achane received 18 carries and four targets in Week 3, erasing concerns that his small stature may impact his workload. He’s a borderline fantasy RB1 for the rest of the season. — Josh Larky

 D’Andre Swift, Philadelphia Eagles

D’Andre Swift had 28 carries for 175 yards in Week 2 and then led the backfield in Week 3 when Kenneth Gainwell returned from injury. Swift had 16 carries to Gainwell’s 14 last week, but Swift has rushed for 130 yards, while Gainwell could only muster 43 yards on the ground. I gave out a winning Swift bet in the FREE 33rd Team Discord ahead of Monday night. If you want to talk fantasy football and take some player prop bets in the process, join here. — Josh Larky

 Alexander Mattison, Minnesota Vikings

Alexander Mattison totaled 20 carries and seven targets against a Chargers defense that invites opponents to run the ball against them. He totaled 17 fantasy points in that contest, which will likely be his season high. Expect newly acquired Cam Akers to be involved in Week 4 to some extent. — Josh Larky

 A.J. Dillon, Green Bay Packers

Even without Aaron Jones, A.J. Dillon played just eight more snaps than Patrick Taylor in Week 3. Dillon's output this year (PPR points): 5.6 in Week 1, 7.3 in Week 2, and 3.3 in Week 3. He can be dropped in most leagues. — Kev Wheeler

 Miles Sanders, Carolina Panthers

The Vikings limited the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to 2.6 yards per carry in Week 1 and the Chargers to 1.5 yards per carry in Week 3. The Carolina Panthers don’t have the league’s best run scheme like the Eagles, so temper expectations for Miles Sanders’ effectiveness on the ground in Week 4. — Josh Larky

Cleveland Browns backfield

Jerome Ford led this unit with 10 carries but only totaled 18 rushing yards against the stout Tennessee Titans defensive front. He has another tough task against the Baltimore Ravens, but his pass-game usage (21 of the 27 running back routes) was encouraging. He played well ahead of Kareem Hunt and Pierre Strong last week. — Josh Larky

 Brian Robinson, Washington Commanders

The Eagles have allowed just 43 rushing yards per game to backs through three weeks, so Brian Robinson likely needs to score a touchdown to avoid a fantasy dud in Week 4. — Josh Larky

 Tennessee Titans backfield

Tyjae Spears out-snapped Derrick Henry 25 to 17 in Week 3 and out-snapped Henry in two of three games. Henry's 2.0 PPR point total was the lowest of his career in a game where he's had at least 10 rush attempts. Expect the Tennessee Titans to go back to a Henry-focused game plan in Week 4. — Kev Wheeler

New York Jets backfield

After leading the team in carries, routes and targets through two weeks, Dalvin Cook took a backseat to Breece Hall in Week 3. Hall out-snapped (29-16), out-carried (12-8), and ran more routes (11-6) than Cook last week, a likely sign of how the remainder of the season will play out. — Josh Larky

Top 63 Wide Receivers

Rank Player Average Larky Rank Hill Rank Wheeler Rank Team Opp Team Total xPPR Proj
1 Justin Jefferson 1 1 1 1 MIN CAR 24.50 20.2 21.5
2 Tyreek Hill 3 2 2 5 MIA BUF 25.25 21.7 22.7
3 Keenan Allen 4 3 5 4 LAC LV 27.00 19.8 22
4 Ja'Marr Chase 4 4 6 2 CIN TEN 22.00 17 17.3
5 Stefon Diggs 5 5 3 7 BUF MIA 28.25 16.3 20.5
6 Amon-Ra St. Brown 6.7 6 8 6 DET GB 23.75 15.4 20.3
7 Davante Adams 6.7 13 4 3 LV LAC 21.00 21 17
8 CeeDee Lamb 8 9 7 8 DAL NE 25.25 11.9 18.8
9 Chris Olave 9 7 10 10 NO TB 21.75 16.9 18.1
10 A.J. Brown 9.3 10 9 9 PHI WAS 26.25 16.2 16.9
11 Jaylen Waddle 10.7 8 12 12 MIA BUF 25.25 9.2 14.6
12 Calvin Ridley 13.7 11 16 14 JAX ATL 23.00 14.8 15.3
13 Puka Nacua 14.3 15 11 17 LA IND 22.75 19.2 17.3
14 DK Metcalf 14.7 12 17 15 SEA NYG 22.75 12.4 15.2
15 Tee Higgins 14.7 14 19 11 CIN TEN 22.00 16.3 13
16 DeVonta Smith 16 17 13 18 PHI WAS 26.25 12.6 14.8
17 Deebo Samuel 17 16 14 21 SF ARI 28.75 18.3 14.6
18 Michael Pittman 17.7 19 15 19 IND LA 24.25 16.8 13.6
19 Tyler Lockett 21 20 20 23 SEA NYG 22.75 14 12.2
20 Brandon Aiyuk 21.3 23 25 16 SF ARI 28.75 14.8 16.3
21 Amari Cooper 21.3 26 18 20 CLE BAL 21.75 13.6 13.4
22 George Pickens 22.3 22 21 24 PIT HOU 22.50 12.2 15
23 Mike Evans 22.7 33 22 13 TB NO 18.75 16.9 17
24 Jerry Jeudy 25 18 32 25 DEN CHI 24.50 9.9 13.1
25 Zay Flowers 25.3 21 23 32 BAL CLE 19.25 12.8 10.2
26 Jakobi Meyers 29 35 26 26 LV LAC 21.00 20.9 13.5
27 Chris Godwin 29.3 30 24 34 TB NO 18.75 11.7 12.4
28 Nico Collins 30.3 32 30 29 HOU PIT 19.50 11.7 14.2
29 Christian Kirk 31 34 29 30 JAX ATL 23.00 10.3 11.7
30 DeAndre Hopkins 31.7 25 33 37 TEN CIN 19.50 13.6 13.5
31 Adam Thielen 32 37 31 28 CAR MIN 21.00 13.3 11.8
32 Jordan Addison 32.7 29 34 35 MIN CAR 24.50 11.6 10.7
33 Tutu Atwell 33 42 35 22 LA IND 22.75 14.7 14.3
34 Courtland Sutton 34 31 40 31 DEN CHI 24.50 12.9 14.4
35 Christian Watson 34.3 39 37 27 GB DET 22.25 - 11.9
36 Tank Dell 34.7 41 27 36 HOU PIT 19.50 11.5 10.2
37 Garrett Wilson 35.7 46 28 33 NYJ KC 16.50 12.1 12.3
38 Joshua Palmer 36 24 38 46 LAC LV 27.00 - -
39 DJ Moore 36.3 28 42 39 CHI DEN 21.50 9.1 11.1
40 Michael Thomas 37.3 27 41 44 NO TB 21.75 14.3 11.2
41 Terry McLaurin 39 38 36 43 WAS PHI 18.25 7.9 14.4
42 Marquise Brown 41.3 36 47 41 ARI SF 14.75 12.7 11.6
43 Gabe Davis 41.3 40 39 45 BUF MIA 28.25 10.7 10.8
44 Drake London 43.3 48 44 38 ATL JAX 20.00 9.3 9.2
45 Elijah Moore 45.3 53 43 40 CLE BAL 21.75 12.5 11.5
46 Jayden Reed 46 45 45 48 GB DET 22.25 12.2 7.3
47 Romeo Doubs 47.3 47 46 49 GB DET 22.25 13.4 9
48 Kendrick Bourne 51.7 44 56 55 NE DAL 18.25 13.1 11.6
49 Robert Woods 52 43 57 56 TEN CIN 19.50 13 12.2
50 Jahan Dotson 52.3 52 48 57 WAS PHI 18.25 7.5 12.6
51 Marvin Mims 52.7 51 54 53 DEN CHI 24.50 10.1 5.7
52 Josh Downs 52.7 57 51 50 IND LA 24.25 11.2 8
53 DJ Chark 53.3 50 58 52 CAR MIN 21.00 8.2 5.7
54 Quentin Johnston 54 49 55 58 LAC LV 27.00 4.3 9.2
55 Josh Reynolds 54.7 54 49 61 DET GB 23.75 8 8.7
56 Rashid Shaheed 55 55 50 60 NO TB 21.75 9.5 8.7
57 Brandin Cooks 55 58 60 47 DAL NE 25.25 8.8 6.7
58 Darius Slayton 59.7 56 64 59 NYG SEA 24.25 9 9.3
59 Jaxon Smith-Njigba 59.7 60 52 67 SEA NYG 22.75 6.8 8.5
60 Rashee Rice 61.7 62 61 62 KC NYJ 26.00 7.7 5.9
61 Skyy Moore 62.7 61 53 74 KC NYJ 26.00 8.4 10.8
62 Darnell Mooney 67 59 76 66 CHI DEN 21.50 4.9 5.9
63 Michael Gallup 69.7 63 70 76 DAL NE 25.25 6.3 -

Loss of Mike Williams, Los Angeles Chargers

Mike Williams tore his ACL and is, unfortunately, done for the season. Last year, Josh Palmer filled in for five games while Williams was hurt and averaged 16 fantasy points per game (9.2 targets, 6.2 receptions, 74 yards, 0.4 touchdowns). Quentin Johnston has seen limited action to this point, but his target rate when on the field has been 50 percent higher than Palmer’s. Palmer is a moderately high-ceiling option with a solid floor. Johnston is the home run swing who may turn out to be one of this year’s signature league winners. — Josh Larky

Jakobi Meyers, Las Vegas Raiders

Jakobi Meyers has at least 10 targets and 81 yards in both games he’s played, and he has totaled five red zone targets. He and Davante Adams will plummet in the rankings if Jimmy Garoppolo (concussion) misses Week 4. — Josh Larky

 Jordan Addison, Minnesota Vikings

For three consecutive weeks, KJ Osborn has run more routes than Jordan Addison, yet Addison has out-produced him each week. We should see a shift in playing time one of these weeks, so Addison carries a nice ceiling moving forward. — Josh Larky

 Wan'Dale Robinson, New York Giants

Wan'Dale Robinson returned from injury in Week 3 and saw five targets on eight routes. The New York Giants play a Seattle team that has allowed the most PPR points (103.1) to slot wide receivers this season. — Kev Wheeler

 Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers

Christian Watson should debut on Thursday Night Football against the Detroit Lions. Jayden Reed and Romeo Doubs have averaged nearly seven targets per game in his absence, with Reed being slightly more efficient. The expectation is both take a back seat to Watson, but rankings adjustments will be made next week if that doesn’t materialize. — Josh Larky

 Houston Texans receivers

Only the Chargers, Dolphins, and Vikings receivers have scored more PPR fantasy points on the season. The Houston Texans’ base package on offense is three-receiver sets, and Nico Collins, Tank Dell and Robert Woods are viable each week. — Josh Larky

 San Francisco 49ers receivers

Without Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel saw a season-high 35.3 percent target share in Week 3. Week 1 and Week 2 were both at 25.0 percent. Aiyuk is back at practice and is expected to return in Week 4. — Kev Wheeler

 Adam Thielen, Carolina Panthers

Adam Thielen has a target share of at least 25 percent in the past two games, and WR Jonathan Mingo likely will miss Week 4 due to a concussion. Thielen is set up well in a revenge game against a very beatable Vikings secondary. — Josh Larky

 Marquise Brown, Arizona Cardinals

Marquise Brown averages seven targets, five receptions, 48 yards and 14 fantasy points per game. Joshua Dobbs has been better than advertised, and Brown appears capable of rising above the Cardinals' offensive environment each week. — Josh Larky

Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mike Evans has at least five receptions, 60 yards and a TD in all three games. — Kev Wheeler

 Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens

Zay Flowers led the Baltimore Ravens with a 33 percent target share in Week 3 (10 targets). TE Mark Andrews was next-best with 16.7 percent. — Kev Wheeler

 Drake London, Atlanta Falcons

The Atlanta Falcons have only one double-digit fantasy performance from their pass-catchers through three weeks, while teams like the Vikings (11), Chargers (eight), Lions (eight), and Saints (eight) have been fantasy point factories for wide receivers and tight ends. Drake London cannot be started each week with any confidence until this team throws more. — Josh Larky

 Marvin Mims, Denver Broncos

Marvin Mims has at least 73 yards in the past two games. On the season, he’s run just 27 routes (slightly less than one full game), but he’s totaled 195 yards. His 7.2 yards per route run leads the NFL by a considerable margin. Expecting an uptick in playing time for the rookie speedster against the Chicago Bears. — Josh Larky

 Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts

Josh Downs took over the WR2 role from Alec Pierce and has averaged eight targets per game already. The speedy slot rookie is a fine flex play in PPR formats. — Josh Larky

Top 22 Tight Ends

Rank Player Average Larky Rank Hill Rank Wheeler Rank Team Opp Team Total xPPR Proj
1 Travis Kelce 1.3 2 1 1 KC NYJ 26.00 16.5 19.7
2 T.J. Hockenson 1.7 1 2 2 MIN CAR 24.50 14.2 12.8
3 Mark Andrews 3.7 4 3 4 BAL CLE 19.25 9.7 12.3
4 Darren Waller 4.3 3 5 5 NYG SEA 24.25 10.3 10.9
5 George Kittle 5 5 4 6 SF ARI 28.75 8.8 10.3
6 Sam LaPorta 5 6 6 3 DET GB 23.75 9.7 12.6
7 Evan Engram 7 7 7 7 JAX ATL 23.00 9 8.6
8 Dallas Goedert 8 8 8 8 PHI WAS 26.25 6.9 6.7
9 Pat Freiermuth 9.7 11 9 9 PIT HOU 22.50 6.9 7.6
10 Hunter Henry 11.3 9 12 13 NE DAL 18.25 10 9.5
11 Luke Musgrave 11.7 14 10 11 GB DET 22.25 9.5 7.6
12 Kyle Pitts 12 15 11 10 ATL JAX 20.00 10 9.6
13 Jake Ferguson 12.7 12 14 12 DAL NE 25.25 9.7 7.7
14 Dalton Kincaid 14.3 13 13 17 BUF MIA 28.25 6.6 7.7
15 Zach Ertz 15.7 10 17 20 ARI SF 14.75 10.1 8
16 Tyler Higbee 15.7 16 16 15 LA IND 22.75 7.6 8.6
17 David Njoku 16.7 19 15 16 CLE BAL 21.75 4.8 6
18 Cole Kmet 17 18 19 14 CHI DEN 21.50 7.1 9.6
19 Hayden Hurst 21.7 21 18 26 CAR MIN 21.00 6.5 5.8
20 Durham Smythe 22.3 20 24 23 MIA BUF 25.25 5.9 7.7
21 Kylen Granson 26.3 22 27 30 IND LA 24.25 7.5 4.6
22 Logan Thomas 27.3 17 29 36 WAS PHI 18.25 9.5 -

 Darren Waller, New York Giants

The Seahawks have given up 138 yards per game to the slot this year, and Darren Waller is in a potential eruption spot in Week 4. — Josh Larky

 Cole Turner, Washington Commanders

Cole Turner got his opportunity to shine and took advantage of it — by leading the Commanders in targets in Week 3. He only produced four receptions for 35 yards against a Bills defense that plays well against tight ends. In Week 4, Turner faces a Philadelphia defense that has allowed the most points to the TE position thus far. — Kev Wheeler

 Sam LaPorta, Detroit Lions

Sam Laporta has increased his target share each week, from 16 percent to 18 percent to 36 percent in Week 3. His fantasy points have risen each week, too, from 8.9 to 11.3 to 22.4 PPR points last week. He is a strong fantasy starter for the rest of the season, with at least five catches every week. — Josh Larky

 Pat Freiermuth, Pittsburgh Steelers

Pat Freiermuth has had a target share below 15 percent each week and has two touchdown receptions on only five catches. He’s not going to continue scoring a touchdown every 2.5 receptions, and it’s concerning that his target share has remained low because WR Diontae Johnson — currently on IR — left halfway through Week 1 because of a hamstring injury. — Josh Larky

 Jake Ferguson, Dallas Cowboys

Jake Ferguson averages six targets per game on only 20 routes per game. He’s fantasy relevant, so any uptick in playing time will give him a Dalton Schultz-type ceiling from when Schultz was a Cowboy. — Josh Larky

 Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons

Kyle Pitts caught 5 of 9 targets for a team-high 41 yards in Atlanta's 20-6 loss to Detroit in Week 3. There is a glimmer of hope that Pitts can build on this performance against a Jacksonville defense in the bottom third of points allowed to tight ends. — Kev Wheeler

 Luke Musgrave, Green Bay Packers

Only Pitts (11.8) has seen a higher average target depth than Luke Musgrave (11.5), and no other tight end is above 10 yards. Musgrave is pacing for 85 targets, 63 receptions, and 702 yards this season, which are fantasy TE1 numbers. — Josh Larky

 

Top 12 Defenses

Rank Name Opp Opp Total
1 49ers ARI 14.75
2 Eagles WAS 18.25
3 Chiefs NYJ 16.5
4 Steelers HOU 19.5
5 Buccaneers NO 21.75
6 Saints TB 18.75
7 Cowboys NE 18.25
8 Browns BAL 19.25
9 Bengals TEN 19.5
10 Chargers LV 21
11 Bills MIA 25.25
12 Giants SEA 22.75

Pittsburgh Steelers

Houston’s injury-ravaged offensive line faces the Pittsburgh Steelers’ premium pass rush. Pittsburgh is the first high-end pass rush that C.J. Stroud has faced in his professional career.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New Orleans Saints are two quality defenses that face two volatile quarterbacks. We’re giving the Buccaneers a slight edge if Jameis Winston starts.

Dallas Cowboys

We can expect New England to follow suit after watching Arizona run the ball all over Dallas. That will limit sack and turnover opportunities for the Dallas Cowboys.

Cleveland Browns

If the Ravens’ offensive line is still down multiple starters, the Cleveland Browns will have a trench advantage in this matchup.

Cincinnati Bengals

Streaming the Cincinnati Bengals’ defense is more of a bet against the Titans' offensive line than anything else.

Los Angeles Chargers

The Los Angeles Chargers' defense is not safe, but they’ve already moved from -4.5 point favorites to -6 because Jimmy Garoppolo might miss this contest.

New York Giants

The New York Giants will be home, in primetime, against a banged-up Seahawks offensive line.

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Tags: Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens See More

Josh Larky

Josh Larky is the Director of Fantasy and Gambling at The 33rd Team.  He joins us with a unique blend of educational and professional experience.

Matthew Hill

Writing and providing draft and in-season rankings since 2014, Matthew Hill was chosen FantasyPro's “Most Accurate Expert” for 2018. In addition to his 2018 first place in-season accuracy finish, Matthew’s draft rankings are among the industry's most accurate, finishing in the top 12 for 2019 to 2021.

Kev Wheeler

Kev Wheeler is a former high school baseball and football coach who has been a fantasy football addict for more than 25 years. As a coach, Wheeler's teams accomplished five county and two regional championships. Wheeler has translated his on-field success to the fantasy football arena.

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