NFL Analysis
1/29/24
15 min read
2024 NFL Mock Draft: Latest First-Round Predictions After Championship Weekend
As Conference Championship weekend comes to a close and 2024 Reese’s Senior Bowl week arrives, the 2024 NFL Draft quickly approaches.
The first 30 picks are locked into place — team needs and fits are feeling more and more certain with them. Just 87 days remain until the NFL Draft. We will examine how the first round could play out in Detroit in just a few months.
LATEST 2024 NFL MOCK DRAFT
1. Chicago Bears
Height: 6-foot-1
Weight: 215 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: A new quarterback era for the Chicago Bears is on the horizon. Caleb Williams is the heavy favorite to be the next franchise guy and raises the quarterback ceiling for the Chicago Bears to a level it hasn’t been in some time.
2. Washington Commanders
Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 230 pounds
Class: RS Sophomore
Fit: The roller coaster ride of the Sam Howell experience landed the Washington Commanders in a prime position to add their next franchise quarterback. Maye had a streaky end to the season at UNC but has all the tools to be a threat for the Commanders moving forward.
3. New England Patriots
Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 210 pounds
Class: Senior
Fit: Third overall feels a bit early for Jayden Daniels. Still, the New England Patriots are desperate for a franchise quarterback, and Daniels grew up before our eyes at an extraordinary rate this season at LSU.
Daniels’ dual-threat ability instantly improves New England’s ceiling on offense and makes its lack of supporting cast depth less of an issue.
4. Arizona Cardinals
Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Ohio State
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 205 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: Marvin Harrison Jr. falls into the Arizona Cardinals ’ lap with the fourth overall pick because quarterbacks go one, two and three. Harrison is one of the best receiver prospects coming out of college in the past three to four years and will be an ideal addition to the Cardinals' offense for the long and short term.
5. Los Angeles Chargers
Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 240 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: The Los Angeles Chargers announced Jim Harbaugh as their new coach, so emphasizing tight end production will be even more of a priority. Harbaugh had consistent tight end play in his years at Michigan, and Brock Bowers is a true difference-maker as a blocker and receiver.
6. New York Giants
Malik Nabers, WR, LSU
Height: 6-foot
Weight: 200 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: The New York Giants offense has plenty of holes, but wide receiver needs significant upgrading. Malik Nabers can do that with his explosiveness, big-play ability and reliability.
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7. Tennessee Titans
Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame
Height: 6-foot-8
Weight: 315 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: Joe Alt to the Tennessee Titans is a match made in heaven. Tennessee has a significant hole at left tackle, so landing an LT1 without moving up is a big win for the new-look Titans heading into 2024 — a big year for Will Levis.
8. Atlanta Falcons
Laiatu Latu, EDGE, UCLA
Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 265 pounds
Class: Senior
Fit: The Atlanta Falcons are a team that could trade up for a quarterback if one of the top three teams wants to trade back. But today we have them taking the top defender in the 2024 NFL Draft. Laiatu Latu is a perfect fit in Atlanta if his medicals check out. The Falcons need a difference-maker on defense — especially on the edge — and Latu can fill that role.
9. Chicago Bears
Rome Odunze, WR, Washington
Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 215 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: There’s no denying DJ Moore’s talent, but there’s also no denying the Bears need more receiving threats on offense, especially for their new franchise quarterback.
Rome Odunze is a smooth operator who can move around all over the field for the Bears offense. Though he’s not at the talent level of Marvin Harrison Jr. or Malik Nabers, Odunze would be a big addition to an offense looking to move into a new era in Chicago.
10. New York Jets
Olu Fashanu, OT, Penn State
Height: 6-foot-6
Weight: 319 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: Wide receiver or offensive tackle feels more and more likely for the New York Jets with the No. 10 pick. Olu Fashanu provides them an instant upgrade at offensive tackle with the athletic ability and physical traits to improve protection for Aaron Rodgers and improve the run blocking in front of Breece Hall.
11. Minnesota Vikings
Jer'Zhan Newton, IDL, Illinois
Height: 6-foot-2
Weight: 295 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: Illinois DL Jer’Zhan Newton will be one of the most polarizing players in the 2024 NFL Draft. Despite his lack of size, Newton is one of the more disruptive defensive tackles in this class. Newton’s fit with Brian Flores and the Minnesota Vikings is ideal for a player who must be in the right position to succeed early in his career.
12. Denver Broncos
Dallas Turner, EDGE, Alabama
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 242 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: Pass rushing wins in the NFL, and Alabama EDGE Dallas Turner can get after quarterbacks. Turner needs to improve his hand technique and strike timing, but his athletic and physical traits will give NFL scouts plenty to dream about.
13. Las Vegas Raiders
Terrion Arnold, CB, Alabama
Height: 6-foot
Weight: 196 pounds
Class: Sophomore
Fit: The Las Vegas Raiders' inconsistency in the secondary cost them multiple games in 2023. Adding the CB1 in Terrion Arnold with the 13th overall pick is excellent value at one of the league’s most valuable positions. Arnold is a high-upside cover corner who checks all the boxes to develop into a star in the NFL.
14. New Orleans Saints
Jared Verse, EDGE, Florida State
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 260 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: A theme in my mock drafts this year has been Jared Verse landing with the New Orleans Saints. Despite lacking the high-end athletic traits, Verse’s power, relentlessness and natural leverage when rushing the passer and defending the run for Florida State is a joy to watch on tape.
Verse is a prime candidate to take over for Cam Jordan as he nears retirement and can be a key factor early in his career playing alongside Jordan.
15. Indianapolis Colts
Nate Wiggins, CB, Clemson
Height: 6-foot-2
Weight: 185 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: The Indianapolis Colts could go in multiple directions with their first-round pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. They have needs at corner and wide receiver, so it will likely come down to value and where they have guys stacked at those two positions.
Nate Wiggins must continue to develop physically but has the coverage skills to become a quality outside corner for the Colts.
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16. Seattle Seahawks
Taliese Fuaga, OT, Oregon State
Height: 6-foot-6
Weight: 334 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: Charles Cross and Abe Lucas are set to be the Seattle Seahawks’ starters at the tackle spots. So Taliese Fuaga can be a high-ceiling plug-and-play guard for the Seahawks with a move to right tackle still in play if need be.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars
Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama
Height: 6-foot-1
Weight: 195 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: It was a disaster season for the Jacksonville Jaguars defense in 2023. They had holes along the defensive line, at linebacker and in the secondary. The Jaguars could go in any direction on defense in the middle of the first round.
Kool-Aid McKinstry’s value here would be a blinking light for Jacksonville, and he would immediately improve their defense heading into 2024.
18. Cincinnati Bengals
JC Latham, OT, Alabama
Height: 6-foot-6
Weight: 360 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: Offensive tackle has been a concern for the Cincinnati Bengals for far too long. JC Latham is the top right tackle in this draft class and should provide the consistency and reliability that has been lacking since Joe Burrow took over as the starting quarterback.
19. Los Angeles Rams
Cooper DeJean, CB, Iowa
Height: 6-foot-1
Weight: 207 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: The Los Angeles Rams overachieved on defense for most of 2023 after trading Jalen Rasmey and cutting ties with veteran players. Cooper DeJean is one of the draft's most athletic and versatile players, regardless of position.
20. Pittsburgh Steelers
Tyler Guyton, OT, Oklahoma
Height: 6-foot-7
Weight: 328 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: The Senior Bowl is kicking off this week, and all eyes will be on Oklahoma OT Tyler Guyton. Given his physical and athletic profile, Guyton is among the highest-ceiling offensive tackles in this draft class. Guyton has played limited snaps at tackle but has shown the flashes and has the tools to develop into an All-Pro caliber player with the right coaching and support system.
21. Miami Dolphins
Amarius Mims, OT, Georgia
Height: 6-foot-7
Weight: 340 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: One of my favorite players in this draft class is Georgia OT Amarius Mims. Despite his lack of snaps, Mims has the size, athleticism and length to develop into a top tackle in the NFL. Mims only took snaps at right tackle in college, but he should have no limitations playing on the left side in the NFL.
The Miami Dolphins have holes long-term at left tackle and guard. Mims should be able to work into a starting role at guard until taking over for Terron Armstead at left tackle.
22. Philadelphia Eagles
Brian Thomas Jr., WR, LSU
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 205 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: The Philadelphia Eagles have holes in their secondary and at linebacker, but the Philadelphia offense has struggled when the passing game weapons have been less than 100 percent.
Brian Thomas Jr. provides excellent value here late in the first round. He would allow new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore to move A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith around the formation with three high-level receivers.
23. Houston Texans
Troy Franklin, WR, Oregon
Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 187 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: In their first season, C.J. Stroud and Tank Dell took the league by storm. Dell is recovering from injury so adding to the receiver room is a must for the Houston Texans with this loaded wide receiver class.
Troy Franklin was one of the most productive receivers in the country in 2023 and would slide into the Texans' offense nicely next to a healthy Dell and Nico Collins.
24. Dallas Cowboys
Graham Barton, OT, Duke
Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 314 pounds
Class: Senior
Fit: The Dallas Cowboys have holes at offensive tackle and center, so Graham Barton makes a lot of sense. Barton has been a quality left tackle for the Blue Devils over the last few seasons, but a move inside to center is where I see his best fit in the NFL.
Tyron Smith and Tyler Biadasz are set to hit free agency, and Barton provides value at tackle and center. Depending on what Dallas elects to do in free agency, Barton should be a first-year starter at left tackle or center.
25. Green Bay Packers
Jordan Morgan, OT, Arizona
Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 325 pounds
Class: Senior
Fit: The David Bahktiari saga is coming to an end in Green Bay. Finding a new franchise left tackle is near the top of the list for the Green Bay Packers heading into the 2024 offseason.
Jordan Morgan is one of the best pass-protecting tackles in this class and can be a calming presence protecting Jordan Love’s blindside for the foreseeable future.
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan
Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 203
Class: Junior
Fit: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are in an interesting spot heading into 2024 at quarterback. Baker Mayfield is a free agent coming off a good year, and the Bucs will have to decide if they want to pay up or head in a different direction.
J.J. McCarthy could stand to sit behind a veteran for a season or two but has high-upside traits that are worth taking a chance on late in the first round for a quarterback-needy team.
27. Arizona Cardinals
Byron Murphy II, IDL, Texas
Height: 6-foot-1
Weight: 308 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: The Arizona Cardinals need “dudes” on the defensive side of the ball, and Byron Murphy II is just that. Murphy has yet to pick up the steam I thought he would, but I can’t imagine it will take much longer. Murphy’s ability to rush the passer — while not giving up ground in the run game — makes him my top-graded defensive tackle.
28. Buffalo Bills
Keon Coleman, WR, Florida State
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 215 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: There’s been a lot of talk regarding the wide receiver room in Buffalo this season. Despite his lack of top-end athletic traits and less-than-ideal route running, Keon Coleman’s fit in Joe Brady’s offense would take pressure off of Stefon Diggs and Josh Allen. It would provide Allen with a big-bodied player who thrives at making tough catches at all three levels.
29. Detroit Lions
Kamari Lassiter, CB, Georgia
Height: 6-foot
Weight: 180 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: The Detroit Lions had issues on the defensive side of the ball for most of the season, but a few additions in the secondary could have that unit looking much improved in 2024. Kamari Lassiter would give defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn a quality outside corner to pair with Brian Branch, Aidan Hutchinson and Alim McNeil moving into 2024.
30. Baltimore Ravens
Quinyon Mitchell, CB, Toledo
Height: 6-foot
Weight: 196 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: After a disappointing loss in the AFC Championship, the Baltimore Ravens will have plenty of holes to fill on the defensive side of the ball with multiple free agents pending. Improving their coverage unit with an aging and injured Marlon Humphrey would help improve a good but inconsistent pass defense in Baltimore.
31. Kansas City Chiefs
Xavier Legette, WR, South Carolina
Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 227 pounds
Class: Senior
Fit: The Kansas City Chiefs have shown some nice improvements on offense in the first three rounds of the playoffs, but they still rely heavily on Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice far too much. Xavier Legette has the size and athleticism to develop into a quality WR1 alongside Rice.
32. San Francisco 49ers
Troy Fautanu, OT, Washington
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 317 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: Trent Williams is getting up there in age, and improvements are needed at other spots along the offensive line. The versatility and consistency that Washington’s Troy Fautanu brings is an ideal fit for the San Francisco 49ers late in the first round. Fautanu can stick at left tackle but can fit in at guard or right tackle until Williams plays his last snap.