Betting
11/7/24
5 min read
5 Best PrizePicks More-Less Picks To Smash in NFL Week 10
Another week of NFL games means another week of PrizePicks to make.
Week 10 opens up with an exciting AFC North matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens on Thursday Night Football. The week's slate of games includes a few other intriguing divisional matchups, including Broncos-Chiefs and Eagles-Cowboys.
With a full state of games, including an international trip between the New York Giants and Carolina Panthers, here are some of the best more-less PrizePicks to choose from for Week 10.
NFL Week 10 PrizePicks More or Less Picks
Ja'Marr Chase 81.5 Receiving Yards: More
It's been a while since Ja'Marr Chase had a dominant game, but that could change with a divisional rivalry.
Chase hasn't exceeded more than 72 yards in the last four games. However, the game before that streak was also against the Ravens, with the 24-year-old going off for 10 catches, 193 yards, and two touchdowns.
That matchup has typically done well throughout Chase's career. He's averaged 99.7 receiving yards per game in seven contests against Baltimore, and this year's Ravens defense isn't any better at defending the pass.
The Ravens rank 23rd against the pass in defensive DVOA, and their depleted secondary could struggle again against Chase. Newly-acquired cornerback Tre'Davious White is not expected to make his debut on Thursday night, leaving the Baltimore secondary thin again.
Look for Chase to put up numbers again on Thursday.
Jayden Daniels 44.5 Rushing Yards: Less
It's been a dream start to his NFL career for Jayden Daniels, but the Washington Commanders rookie quarterback faces his toughest test this Sunday.
Daniels has put up some impressive rushing numbers, running for 459 yards and four touchdowns while averaging 5.6 yards per carry. Even while dealing with a recent rib injury, he's run for another 87 yards in the last two games.
That might be a bit trickier to put up strong rushing numbers against a dominant Pittsburgh Steelers defense. They have the eighth-ranked defense by DVOA, with the team generating 123 total pressures on the season.
The Giants tried to counter that pressure earlier this season by getting the ball out quickly.
Every T.J. Watt single-blocked pass-rush rep in Week 8 vs. Giants.
— Tommy Jaggi (@TommyJaggi) November 1, 2024
There were *some* opportunities here, but that ball came out FAST. Daniel Jones doesn't even take a full 3-step drop on some of these reps. #Steelers pic.twitter.com/c1KpJuLQjJ
Pass rushers including T.J. Watt and Cameron Heyward could flush Daniels out of the pocket, leading to more scrambles. However, they're effective enough at getting home that Daniels might be more worried about getting the ball quickly than trying to risk taking more shots to his ribs by taking off downfield.
Justin Herbert 225.5 Passing Yards: More
The argument against Justin Herbert going into the 2024 season was his lack of weapons. That doesn't look like it's the case anymore thanks to the emergence of Ladd McConkey and second-year breakout for Quentin Johnston.
While he's not putting up video game numbers, Herbert is having the most efficient year of his career. He's thrown 10 touchdowns to just one interception, posting a career-high 101.6 passer rating while averaging 215.6 passing yards per game.
The Titans have had a tough defense for opposing quarterbacks to go against this year. However, with a 2-6 record and multiple players shipped off before the trade deadline, that defense may not have the same kind of juice going forward with little motivation of a playoff run.
Expect a solid game from Herbert, who should break 225 passing yards.
Tyreek Hill 5.5 Receptions: Less
The return of Tua Tagovailoa under center should help the Miami Dolphins turn things around offensively. However, that doesn't mean they will force-feed their star receiver, Tyreek Hill.
Tagovailoa had a strong game last week, completing nearly 90 percent of his passes for 231 yards and two touchdowns with zero interceptions. Hill had a solid game in that return, catching 4-of-5 targets for 80 yards.
By his own standards, Hill has had a quiet season. He's caught at least six passes in just three of Miami's eight games, and is pacing for his first year without 1,000 receiving yards since 2019.
The Los Angeles Rams present a promising matchup with their secondary, but even if Hill breaks off a couple of explosive plays, he may not get the targets to break 5.5 catches on Monday night.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. 73.5 Rushing Yards: More
A fifth-round pick out of Purdue, Tyrone Tracy Jr. has become one of the most surprising breakout rookies in the NFL this season.
A former college wide receiver, Tracy made the switch to running back in his final season with the Boilermakers before going pro. The move has panned out for him, rushing for 442 yards and a pair of touchdowns while averaging 5.0 yards per carry.
TYRONE TRACY JR. 🔥
— ESPN (@espn) October 29, 2024
A 45-YARD TOUCHDOWN TO KEEP THE GIANTS IN IT 😤 #NYGvsPIT | ABC, ESPN, ESPN+ pic.twitter.com/MRLgsnavoq
Tracy has already had two games with at least 125 rushing yards this season, and he's facing a Carolina Panthers defense in Germany that has the worst run defense by DVOA in the league.
The international crowd will have a chance to see another breakout game from the Giants rookie running back on Sunday morning.
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