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11/14/24

5 min read

5 Best PrizePicks More-Less Picks To Smash in NFL Week 11

Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is congratulated by wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins after scoring a touchdown during the first half against the Denver Broncos at GEHA Field.
Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (87) is congratulated by wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins (8) after scoring a touchdown during the first half against the Denver Broncos at GEHA Field. Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images.

Week 11 means that the NFL season is more than halfway done, but there's still plenty of time to take a look at some more-less picks to hammer on PrizePicks.

This week's slate of NFL games kicks off with a thrilling matchup for NFC East supremacy between the Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles on Thursday Night Football. The rivalry games continue throughout the week with Packers-Bears, Seahawks-49ers, Ravens-Steelers, and even a non-divisional rivalry between the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills.

Rivalry games can end up going either way, especially with some of the matchups this weekend. Regardless of the outcomes, there's a few enticing picks to make on PrizePicks for Week 11.

NFL Week 11 PrizePicks Lines

Jalen Hurts 0.5 Rush/Receiving Touchdowns: More

Jalen Hurts might be addicted to rushing touchdowns.

The Philadelphia Eagles quarterback has already rushed for 10 scores this season, including at least one in four straight games. Inn that four-game span, he's generated 182 yards and eight touchdowns on the ground while still passing for six scores and just one interception.

According to TruMedia, the Commanders have allowed 4.4 yards per carry for 216 yards to quarterbacks this season. Kyler Murray and Lamar Jackson are the only true dual threats that the Commanders have faced, but neither quarterback is known for running sneaks near the goal line.

As the Eagles get into the red zone and close to the goal line, look for another signature Tush Push to get Hurts into the end zone.


Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love celebrates as he runs off the field following the game against the Houston Texans at Lambeau Field.
Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) celebrates as he runs off the field following the game against the Houston Texans at Lambeau Field. Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images.

Jordan Love 233.5 Passing Yards: Less

The Chicago Bears are reeling, and things don't get any easier this week against their most hated rival in the Green Bay Packers.

The Packers are coming off a bye week that couldn't have come at a better time, allowing players like Jordan Love to rest and get healthy. The former first-round pick has struggled with knee and groin injuries throughout the year, and his production has taken a big hit because of it.

In fact, Love has only broken 234 passing yards twice in the last five games. Things won't get much easier against Chicago's stout secondary.

On the other hand, the Bears have the 30th-ranked rushing defense by DVOA, and the Packers love to run the football. Josh Jacobs and Emanuel Wilson should ramp up their workload to help the Packers keep possession and chew plenty of clock while marching downfield.


Christian McCaffrey 115.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards: More

The San Francisco 49ers didn't seem timid about riding Christian McCaffrey in his first game of the 2024 season last Sunday. That trend should continue now that he's finally back on the field.

McCaffrey finished the game with just 39 rushing yards on 13 carries, but added another 68 yards on six catches, resulting in 107 total yards in his debut.

That workload should ramp up even more this week now that McCaffrey has shaken off the rust. The Seahawks are a middle-of-the-road defense, and one of its best players, Leonard Williams, missed practice on Wednesday.

If the Seahawks defense is banged up, it could let McCaffrey feast.


Jacksonville Jaguars tight end Evan Engram
Jacksonville Jaguars tight end Evan Engram (17) carries the ball against Chicago Bears safety Kevin Byard III (31) in the second half during an NFL International Series game. Kirby Lee-Imagn Images.

Evan Engram 42.5 Receiving Yards: Less

Things keep getting worse for the Jacksonville Jaguars, who could be without Trevor Lawrence for the rest of the season.

Lawrence is at least ruled out for Sunday's game against the Detroit Lions, meaning Mac Jones will be suiting up again, this time against a white-hot Detroit Lions team. They are the third-best defense by DVOA this season and have continued to roll without Aidan Hutchinson rushing the passer.

Evan Engram hasn't been much of a factor in the last month, breaking 42.5 receiving yards just once in the last four games. Even that one game was just 45 yards on five catches in a loss to the Eagles.

Jones will have a tough time airing it out against Detroit's suffocating secondary this week, so it'll be even harder to get Engram involved.


TRavis Kelce 6.5 Receptions: More

Travis Kelce looks like he's lost a bit of his juice this season, but the 35-year-old tight end is still a focal point in the Chiefs offense.

Kelce has been targeted more than 10 times in four of the last five games. He's seen an even bigger workload in the last three, catching 32 passes for 254 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Even with the arrival of veteran receiver DeAndre Hopkins, Kelce has continued to play a key role in this passing game.

The Bills rank 13th in defensive DVOA when covering tight ends this season, but they haven't faced a true impact player at the position in more than a month. Kelce presents a different kind of mismatch for opponents, so he should be able to keep his hot streak going.


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