Betting

9/26/24

4 min read

5 Best PrizePicks More-Less Picks To Smash In NFL Week 4

Sep 22, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings running back Aaron Jones (33) runs the ball as Houston Texans safety Calen Bullock (21) makes the tackle during the fourth quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images

The NFL Week 4 slate is filled with divisional rivalries and plenty of appealing PrizePicks selections to make throughout Sunday's games.

Along with the potential return of Jordan Love against the Minnesota Vikings, the Philadelphia Eagles will be looking for revenge from their blowout playoff loss last year to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens will cap off Sunday night with the best matchup of the week between two of the AFC's most exciting teams.

With so many options to choose from, here are some of the best PrizePicks to make for this week's games.

5 Best PrizePicks Picks for NFL Week 4

Jake Ferguson 0.5 receiving Touchdowns: More

Jake Ferguson has not found the end zone after scoring five touchdowns last season. That should change on Thursday Night Football.

The Dallas Cowboys are taking on an NFC East rival, the New York Giants. While the Giants still aren't considered a playoff-caliber team, they had a statement win last week against the Cleveland Browns.

Ferguson presents a legitimate mismatch in this game. The Giants have the 28th-ranked DVOA when covering tight ends this season, according to FTN Fantasy. Don't be surprised to see the Cowboys target Ferguson in the red zone to help him get his first touchdown of 2024.


Aaron Jones 58.5 Rushing Yards: More

Aaron Jones is returning to Lambeau Field for the first time since leaving the Green Bay Packers. He'll likely be greeted with a standing ovation, given how popular he was during his time in Green Bay, but once the game starts, it'll be strictly business.

Jones has been a bit boom-or-bust through his first three games, rushing for 94, 32, and 102 yards. However, his only "down" game came with a limited workload, as he carried the ball just nine times.

The Packers' run defense is still figuring itself out early this season. They currently rank 20th in defensive DVOA against the run, according to FTN Fantasy, despite allowing just 105.7 rushing yards per game.

Expect Jones to make the most of his carries to get over the 58.5 number.


Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) reacts after he gets first down against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images.

Bo Nix 0.5 Interceptions: Less

Denver Broncos rookie QB Bo Nix had his first career game without an interception in Week 3. Can he make it two games in a row without a pick?

Pro Football Focus has actually been more impressed with Nix's decision-making in recent weeks. After charting three turnover-worthy plays in Week 1, the rookie has just two combined in the last two games.

Although the Jets have a formidable secondary headlined by Sauce Gardner, they have just one interception through three games. Sean Payton will try to put the offense in positions to slow the game down and manage the clock to keep the ball away from Aaron Rodgers, which should put an added emphasis on taking care of the ball in Week 4.


Ja'Marr Chase 25.5 Longest Reception: More

Whether it's on a go ball or after the catch, Ja'Marr Chase knows how to generate explosive plays

Chase finally got going in the Week 3 loss to the Washington Commanders after a quiet start to the season. He caught six passes for 118 yards and two touchdowns, with both scores going for more than 30 yards.

The Bengals superstar is a big play waiting to happen. There's the potential for a shootout in this game if Cincinnati's defense can't slow down Andy Dalton and the Carolina Panthers' passing game. That means more opportunities for Chase to generate at least one big play over 25 yards.


Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) runs with the ball during the game against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images.

Lamar Jackson 9.5 Rushing Attempts: Less

Lamar Jackson is running angry this year. However, he may not have as many opportunities to escape the pocket as he usually does on Sunday Night Football.

Jackson has faced the Bills three times in his career, averaging 9.7 rushing attempts per contest. However, this year's Bills defense seems a bit more difficult to handle than in previous seasons. FTN Fantasy has the Bills with the sixth-ranked defense by DVOA through the first three weeks.

Although Jackson already has 35 rushing attempts this season, the Ravens are starting to lean a bit more heavily on Derrick Henry as he gets acclimated to his new team.

His rushing usage has increased weekly this season, and he could expect an even bigger workload to take some of the pressure off of the reigning MVP on Sunday night.


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