Analysis
10/29/22
11 min read
Week 8 DFS Tournament Game Advice, From Kyler to D.J. Moore
If you are new to DFS, check out our introductory pieces, such as DFS 101, Contest Selection, Stacking, Rostership, Leverage, and Lineup Construction.
Below we will take a look at some of the double stacks, single stacks, and mini stacks I will be looking to take advantage of this weekend. If you have any questions, ask them on our 33rd Team Discord.
Double Stacks
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Stack: QB Kyler Murray, WR DeAndre Hopkins, WR Robbie Anderson
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Runback: TE Irv Smith Jr.
Murray is a great tournament play, as he will not be popular this weekend even though this game has one of the highest totals on the slate. Murray is coming off his first game over seven yards per attempt and has had plenty of time to get familiar with new wide receiver Robbie Anderson.
The Vikings rank in the bottom of the league in yards per attempt and air yards per attempt. That’s concerning, considering they have had games against Andy Dalton, Justin Fields, Jared Goff, and a mix of Teddy Bridgewater/Skylar Thompson. According to TruMedia, they are giving up the seventh-most yards per route run to players lined up out wide, and I expect Hopkins and Anderson to play on the perimeter. This is not something you need to force as a double stack with Anderson, but in large-field tournaments, I like his upside in catching a long touchdown.
The Cardinals have been a zone-heavy scheme since week 1, blitzing plenty off this zone coverage. They have been one of the league's worst teams this season against tight ends. Irv Smith Jr. is a cheap option at the position and allows you to pay the premium at quarterback and wide receiver.
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Stack: QB Tua Tagovailoa, WR Jaylen Waddle, TE Mike Gesicki
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Runback: RB D’Andre Swift
The Lions flipped the script defensively coming off the bye week by playing a ton of zone coverage in last weekend's game against the Cowboys. Tua is unphased by zone coverage as he is averaging over nine yards per attempt against it, but the concern will be how many attempts he will get in the game. The Dolphins are playing at one of the slowest paces in the NFL, and from watching the games, it’s been a lack of urgency between plays. If Tua gets the attempts, he’s in for a massive day against this Lions' secondary, and with his popularity, I am looking to get different.
In the games Tua has played, start to finish, Waddle against zone coverage has out-targeted Tyreek Hill 25-17 and has 210 more yards. The Lions have also struggled against wide receivers, and Waddle has lined up there more frequently than Hill. You can play both with Tua in tournaments, but I am going to Gesicki, who has been willing to play inline more often and has had some production this year on those routes. According to Tru Media, the Lions are giving up 2.6 yards per route run to in-line tight ends.
The runback in this game can go multiple ways, but with the full practice under his belt, I am going to D’Andre Swift. The Dolphins have a good run defense, but their opponents are nowhere near the talent of this Lions' rushing attack. They have also given up over 70 yards receiving to two separate running backs this season, and Swift is a dangerous player catching the ball out of the backfield.
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Stack: QB Derek Carr, WR Davante Adams, WR Mack Hollins
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Runback: WR Tre’Quan Smith
Carr has been able to hand it off to Jacobs the past few weeks, but I see the opportunity for him to get things going in the passing game. The Saints are without Marshon Lattimore this weekend, leaving them with nobody capable of defending Adams. The Saints are giving up the second most yards per route run to outside wide receivers, and with all the attention needed to stop Josh Jacobs, it will lead to one-on-one on the outside.
Adams hasn’t been moved into the slot this season, and with him on the outside, he has been a mismatch. He has a 32% target share and gets targeted on 27.6% of his routes. Hollins has been a deep threat this year for the Raiders with a 26.9% air yards share, and most of that production has been out wide. This is a unique double stack because of the popularity of the Lions vs. Dolphins game.
Chris Olave has been an unbelievably talented rookie wide receiver; however, Patrick Graham has done a fantastic job of not letting the primary wide receiver have a big game. The Raiders have only struggled against the slot this year, and with all the injuries to the Saints, Tre’Quan Smith has been the primary slot option for the team. I am building lineups to get to the top-tier running backs, which is why I am saving salary with Smith over Olave.
Single Stacks
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Stack: QB Sam Ehlinger & WR Parris Campbell
There are not many opportunities to play a $4,000 QB on DraftKings, and in this spot, I will be open to playing Ehlinger. In college, Ehlinger was able to get it done on the ground, and at his size, he can be a threat running the ball in the Red Zone. According to Sports Info Solutions, 47% of Ehlinger’s passing touchdowns were to the slot, and Campbell is their primary slot player. Campbell has recently seen a ton of usage because of how poorly the offensive line has played and forced Matt Ryan to get it out quickly. The Commanders have been an attacking front this year, and this is a spot where I believe Ehlinger won't have the time to let plays downfield develop.
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Stack: QB Malik Willis & WR Robert Woods
Lovie Smith of the Houston Texans has faced his fair share of running quarterbacks in his time as a coach, so Willis will not be anything new to him. When he was with the Chicago Bears, he faced Cam Newton, Mike Vick, and Russell Wilson, and they all had over 20 points against him. When he moved to Tampa Bay, he had two more encounters with Newton in which he had plenty of success against him. He was able to hold Justin Fields in check, but Khalil Herbert in the same game ran for 157 yards and two touchdowns. The safe way to stack Willis will be with Derrick Henry, but for large field tournaments you want Willis to take the rushing touchdowns away from Henry, and you also want him to be an explosive passer. Robert Woods is the most talented wide receiver on this roster, and the only other player in consideration is Nick Westbrook-Ikhine at the wide receiver position.
Mini-Stacks
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NYG @ SEA
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RB Saquon Barkley & TE Will Dissly
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Seattle has been bad against pass-catching running backs and against the run this season. Barkley will have plenty of work as a pass catcher in this one and overall work in the offense. The concern for Barkley will be Daniel Jones stealing away rushing touchdowns, but I believe this is a spot where Barkley has a chance at the double bonus.
Without DK Metcalf, the Seahawks will need other players to step up, and the Giants have struggled with tight ends this year. The Giants' defense blitzes a ton and plays man coverage. Dissly ranks third on the team in targets against man coverage.
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TEN @ HOU
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RB Derrick Henry & WR Phillip Dorsett
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Henry chalk week is here, and find other ways to get different in your contests. Henry has run for over 200 yards and at least two touchdowns in the last three games against the Texans. He did not play them last season, but they have shown signs of this game having that ceiling. Josh Jacobs, Jonathan Taylor, and Khalil Herbert are the only players with over 20 carries against the Texans, and all three of these players ran for over 140 yards. Henry is healthy, getting all the touches, and is in a smash spot this weekend.
The Titans have been susceptible to the deep ball, and without Nico Collins, Dorsett will be his replacement. Despite barely seeing snaps, Dorsett is tied with Collins as the only WRs with multiple catches of over 20 air yards. Brandin Cooks has seen the most targets over 20 yards, but only one has been deemed catchable.
One-Offs
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RB Tony Pollard
Pollard’s time to shine is finally here, and he’s showing up as a chalky play. Pollard is an explosive running back, and the Bears have been susceptible to the run game. Four running backs have had over 80 yards rushing, and two have been able to get over 130 yards.
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RB Miles Sanders
Jalen Hurts did not make my player pool because I believe this is a week for Miles Sanders. Sanders is not popular and in a price range where he’s an opportunity to get unique. The Steelers have been better against the run but have not played this talented of a rushing attack. Sanders isn’t popular this weekend and is a great pivot off of the Walker and Pollard chalk.
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WR D.J. Moore
A.J. Terrell is out for the Falcons, and Moore will be the primary player for P.J. Walker. I don’t anticipate the Falcons to play as poorly as they did against the Bengals, but with the target share we expect from Moore and his price, I am intrigued with him as a one-off.
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Week 8 DFS Player Pool
| Player | Pos | Team | OPP | DK Salary | FD Salary |
| Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | @ MIN | $7,500 | $8,200 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | @ DET | $6,200 | $7,700 |
| Derek Carr | QB | LV | @ NO | $5,900 | $7,200 |
| Malik Willis | QB | TEN | @ HOU | $5,000 | $6,700 |
| Sam Ehlinger | QB | IND | vs WAS | $4,000 | $6,000 |
| Derrick Henry | RB | TEN | @ HOU | $8,400 | $10,000 |
| Saquon Barkley | RB | NYG | @ SEA | $8,100 | $9,500 |
| Josh Jacobs | RB | LV | @ NO | $7,500 | $9,000 |
| Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | vs LV | $7,100 | $7,800 |
| D'Andre Swift | RB | DET | vs MIA | $6,800 | $7,500 |
| Miles Sanders | RB | PHI | vs PIT | $6,600 | $7,400 |
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | SEA | vs NYG | $6,500 | $8,400 |
| Dameon Pierce | RB | HOU | vs TEN | $6,300 | $7,300 |
| Tony Pollard | RB | DAL | vs CHI | $6,100 | $6,300 |
| Raheem Mostert | RB | MIA | @ DET | $5,900 | $6,800 |
| Darrell Henderson | RB | LAR | vs SF | $5,500 | $6,500 |
| D'Onta Foreman | RB | CAR | @ ATL | $5,300 | $6,400 |
| Cooper Kupp | WR | LAR | vs SF | $9,600 | $9,300 |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | vs ARI | $9,100 | $9,000 |
| Davante Adams | WR | LV | @ NO | $8,600 | $8,500 |
| Tyreek Hill | WR | MIA | @ DET | $8,500 | $8,700 |
| A.J. Brown | WR | PHI | vs PIT | $7,700 | $8,200 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | WR | ARI | @ MIN | $7,400 | $7,900 |
| Michael Pittman | WR | IND | vs WAS | $7,200 | $7,100 |
| CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | vs CHI | $7,000 | $7,500 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | vs MIA | $6,900 | $7,200 |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | MIA | @ DET | $6,700 | $7,800 |
| Tyler Lockett | WR | SEA | vs NYG | $6,500 | $7,600 |
| DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | vs PIT | $6,300 | $6,900 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | WR | SF | @ LAR | $6,100 | $6,700 |
| Chris Olave | WR | NO | vs LV | $6,000 | $6,900 |
| Brandin Cooks | WR | HOU | vs TEN | $5,900 | $6,100 |
| Jakobi Meyers | WR | NE | @ NYJ | $5,600 | $6,600 |
| Diontae Johnson | WR | PIT | @ PHI | $5,600 | $6,300 |
| Robert Woods | WR | TEN | @ HOU | $5,400 | $5,700 |
| DJ Moore | WR | CAR | @ ATL | $5,300 | $6,200 |
| Rondale Moore | WR | ARI | @ MIN | $5,100 | $5,500 |
| Josh Reynolds | WR | DET | vs MIA | $5,000 | $6,500 |
| Chase Claypool | WR | PIT | @ PHI | $4,800 | $6,000 |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | NYG | @ SEA | $4,700 | $5,900 |
| George Pickens | WR | PIT | @ PHI | $4,700 | $5,500 |
| Parris Campbell | WR | IND | vs WAS | $4,500 | $5,600 |
| Mack Hollins | WR | LV | @ NO | $4,500 | $5,600 |
| Tre'Quan Smith | WR | NO | vs LV | $4,400 | $5,300 |
| Marquise Goodwin | WR | SEA | vs NYG | $4,400 | $5,600 |
| Kalif Raymond | WR | DET | vs MIA | $4,300 | $5,600 |
| Robby Anderson | WR | ARI | @ MIN | $4,000 | $5,300 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | ATL | vs CAR | $4,000 | $5,300 |
| Quez Watkins | WR | PHI | vs PIT | $3,300 | $5,000 |
| Phillip Dorsett | WR | HOU | vs TEN | $3,200 | $5,300 |
| George Kittle | TE | SF | @ LAR | $5,700 | $6,900 |
| Darren Waller | TE | LV | @ NO | $5,400 | $5,500 |
| Zach Ertz | TE | ARI | @ MIN | $5,100 | $6,000 |
| Tyler Higbee | TE | LAR | vs SF | $4,200 | $6,000 |
| Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | vs CAR | $4,000 | $5,600 |
| Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | @ PHI | $3,900 | $5,700 |
| Irv Smith Jr. | TE | MIN | vs ARI | $3,500 | $5,000 |
| Hunter Henry | TE | NE | @ NYJ | $3,400 | $5,100 |
| Will Dissly | TE | SEA | vs NYG | $3,200 | $4,800 |
| Noah Fant | TE | SEA | vs NYG | $2,800 | $4,700 |
| Mike Gesicki | TE | MIA | @ DET | $3,800 | $5,400 |
| 49ers | DST | SF | @ LAR | $3,100 | $4,500 |
| Patriots | DST | NE | @ NYJ | $3,000 | $4,700 |
| Jets | DST | NYJ | vs NE | $2,900 | $4,500 |
| Rams | DST | LAR | vs SF | $2,700 | $4,000 |
| Texans | DST | HOU | vs TEN | $2,600 | $3,300 |
| Commanders | DST | WAS | @ IND | $2,600 | $3,400 |
| Cardinals | DST | ARI | @ MIN | $2,500 | $3,600 |
WATCH MORE: DFS Expert Jordan Vanek and former Pro Bowl WR Greg Jenning debate whether Buffalo Bills WR Gabe Davis will have a big game against the Green Bay Packers.
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