NFL Analysis
3/21/24
15 min read
NFL Mock Draft 2024: Latest Predictions After Second Wave of Free Agency
The second wave of free agency didn't bring many jaw-dropping moves, but teams wisely filled needs at bargain prices before the 2024 NFL Draft. Even one-year deals with the right veteran can completely change what will happen in the first round of picks. What was once a giant concern becomes something that can wait until Day 2, Day 3 or even 2025.
After considering the most recent slew of trades and signings, we have a couple of major trades that seem ripe to happen.
Buckle in and get ready to be shaken by our latest 2024 NFL mock draft.
2024 NFL MOCK DRAFT
1. Chicago Bears
Height: 6-foot-1
Weight: 215 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: When the Chicago Bears traded Justin Fields, any remaining doubt about their plans with the 2024 No. 1 overall pick was removed. Now, it's merely a matter of which quarterback hears their name first. It's hard to imagine it's anyone but USC's Caleb Williams.
Williams' precision on short throws and under pressure is remarkable. He has a natural instinct to sense defenders closing in, quickly escape the pocket and deliver a perfectly placed throw with the same skill level as Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen.
How he twists his body to connect on cross-body throws can be maddening for most coaches. Yet, Williams' exceptional flexibility and raw talent allow him to execute what seems impossible for others.
As long as Williams' maturity and whiteboard skills are where the Bears need to feel comfortable, he's a slam-dunk decision. No other quarterback in the class has built as complete a game.
"[Williams] has been doing it for three years," former NFL coach Jay Gruden said. "What intrigues you the most about Williams is his ability to step up in the pocket. When plays break down, he's able to step up, keep two hands on the ball and find big plays downfield."
2. Washington Commanders
Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 210 pounds
Class: Senior
Fit: The draft really starts when the Washington Commanders are on the clock. Do they opt to build around a more explosive passer in Jayden Daniels or the more prototypical and higher floor option in Drake Maye? There doesn't seem to be a wrong answer, but the offense's direction must fully commit to the play style of their pick.
Daniels has a lot of momentum this offseason because he generated so many explosive plays in 2023. Winning a Super Bowl without a true playmaker at the position makes a difficult task even more improbable.
He's proven to be a dedicated and persevering person, progressing from an intriguing yet erratic performer at Arizona State to a Heisman-winning sensation at LSU. His abilities and playing technique resemble those of Kyler Murray, with the added advantage of having more college experience and being six inches taller.
"When you look at Jayden, he's more of a gifted pocket passer than you think," former NFL QB Chase Daniel said. "Obviously, he's an extremely gifted athlete. He's a unique combination of pocket passer and runner. He can sit on his back foot to get through progressions."
3. New England Patriots
Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 233 pounds
Class: RS Sophomore
Fit: The New England Patriots have seen a lot of rumors swirling about trading down, but moving out of this spot will cost them a good chance of finding a legitimate franchise quarterback. Whether it's Drake Maye or Daniels, the Patriots can revamp a dead offense around a quality skill set. Who knows if the Patriots will have the same opportunity in 2025?
Maye, at 6-foot-4, 233 pounds, is an impressive athlete who can deliver haymakers downfield. He's also excellent in the short game, proving to effectively understand defenders' pre- and post-snap leverage. He plays a lot like Patrick Mahomes did in 2023 but doesn't have the same elite-level arm strength.
Trade Alert
New York Giants Receive: No. 4
Arizona Cardinals Receive: No. 6, 70
4. New York Giants (via trade with ARI)
J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan
Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 202 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: It's time for some fun. Everyone expects the Minnesota Vikings to make a second trade-up from No. 11 and No. 23 for J.J. McCarthy, but the Arizona Cardinals might not want to lose out on this elite receiver class. The Giants can offer a better solution by dropping only two spots.
The New York Giants have to replace an injury-prone and middling quarterback in Daniel Jones as soon as possible, and their best option might be McCarthy. The NFL loves his blend of mobility, arm strength, aggressiveness and experience under center.
"This guy knows how to win," NFL analyst Charles Davis said. "When this guy lines up behind center, good things happen. He's learned a lot of pro terminology and methods from his [former] coach Jim Harbaugh."
5. Los Angeles Chargers
Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Ohio State
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 205 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: Jim Harbaugh will certainly look to toughen up his Los Angeles Chargers in the trenches, but keeping Khalil Mack and Joey Bosa on restructured deals helps ease the need for immediate help on that side of the ball.
An elite blocker makes a ton of sense, but Harbaugh knows as well as anyone just how special Marvin Harrison Jr. is. Harbaugh and his staff threw more double teams at Harrison than the receiver had ever seen.
The only way to lessen the sting of losing Keenan Allen and Mike Williams is to replenish the depth chart with the most well-rounded receiving prospect of the last decade. Harrison and Justin Herbert will put up incredible career numbers.
6. Arizona Cardinals (via trade with NYG)
Malik Nabers, WR, LSU
Height: 6-foot
Weight: 200 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: The Arizona Cardinals can get the best of both worlds in a minor trade down within the top 10. Landing Malik Nabers and securing another Day 2 pick is a sweet compromise. Some industry experts have already said Nabers could be taken ahead of Harrison.
Considering Arizona's limited receiving room, giving Murray a speedier option who creates at a high level after the catch makes sense. Michael Wilson and Greg Dortch would fall into more natural roles, and the Cardinals would quickly see what Hollywood Brown was supposed to be when they acquired him.
7. Tennessee Titans
Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame
Height: 6-foot-8
Weight: 321 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: It's not often a team in the top 10 actually lands a steal, but Joe Alt falling to the seventh pick gives the Tennessee Titans an easy decision. Unless the franchise is in love with a quarterback, taking the best blocker in the class immediately helps their woeful offense more than anyone else. Alt, 6-foot-8, 321 pounds, moves extremely and profiles as an immediate quality starter.
Tennessee's young offense still needs help blocking. Passing on Alt for a playmaker doesn't make sense for a franchise with the worst offensive line in the NFL right now.
8. Atlanta Falcons
Height: 6-feet
Weight: 196 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit:
Producing a 4.33 40-yard dash and leaping 38 inches at 6 feet, 196 pounds were the finishing touches on Quinyon Mitchell's resume. The Atlanta Falcons, now with Kirk Cousins and Rondale Moore, are a surefire bet to trade down to take a corner or an edge defender. The offense is set, but the defense has major holes at those positions.
Finding a trade-up partner isn't hard, but this corner class drops after the top three. Staying put and pairing Mitchell with A.J. Terrell makes the most sense.
Trade Alert
Jacksonville Jaguars Receive: No. 9
Chicago Bears Receive: No. 17, 48 and 2025 fifth-round pick
9. Jacksonville Jaguars (via trade with CHI)
Rome Odunze, WR, Washington
Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 215 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: With rumors the Jacksonville Jaguars talked with the 49ers about Brandon Aiyuk, it's possible we'll see the 17th pick moved to San Francisco for the star playmaker.
However, Jacksonville rightfully balked at paying Calvin Ridley and possibly Aiyuk. The solution to this is to add a rookie playmaker like Rome Odunze.
Chicago doesn't need a receiver as badly after getting Keenan Allen, so recuperating assets on Day 2 or 2025 makes sense. Meanwhile, the Jaguars find their new WR1 for Trevor Lawrence. Lawrence would massively benefit from Odunze's ability to stretch the field and finish contested catches.
10. New York Jets
Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 240 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: The New York Jets have gone all-in on Aaron Rodgers this offseason despite having limited resources. They gave short-term deals to Tyron Smith and Mike Williams and traded for Morgan Moses.
These moves could blow up in their face if Smith and Williams can't stay healthy, so adding an impact rookie matters. There's not a better candidate on the board than Brock Bowers.
The Georgia star isn't quite as strong a fit as a pure receiver, but it'd feel like a bit of a reach to take Brian Thomas Jr. or Xavier Worthy over Bowers. He's a greater talent, and Rodgers will thrive with one of the most athletic tight ends in the league.
11. Minnesota Vikings
Dallas Turner, EDGE, Alabama
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 242 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: What happens if the Minnesota Vikings can't move ahead of the Giants? Sure, it seems more likely to happen than not, or else Minnesota was reckless in its early trade-up to grab a second first-round pick. But the class takes a dip around this selection, so New England, Arizona or Los Angeles would have to be willing to lose out on a blue-chip prospect.
That feels like a mistake. If Minnesota gets stuck here, they should choose the best player available. Pairing Dallas Turner with Jonathan Greenard would reinvigorate a pass rush that was completely reliant on Danielle Hunter in 2023. Turner offers an ideal frame and the raw traits to develop into a star.
12. Denver Broncos
Jared Verse, EDGE, Florida State
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 260 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: The only clearly open quarterback job in the NFL is with the Denver Broncos. The Sean Payton trade cost the franchise its second-round pick in 2024, so either the Broncos force a QB here, trade down or grab a mid-rounder to compete with Jarrett Stidham. Bo Nix would fit the offense nicely, but the buzz doesn't seem to be there for Denver to put a ring on Nix's finger.
Instead, Denver can grab the best overall edge defender. Jared Verse has the ideal size (6-foot4, 264 pounds), play strength and length, and he tested off the charts with his explosiveness. His game should translate quickly to the next level and fill the void Bradley Chubb left.
13. Las Vegas Raiders
Olumuyiwa Fashanu, OT, Penn State
Height: 6-foot
Weight: 189 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: As with Denver, this is a possible landing spot for Nix. However, there's still a big-named, highly-talented player at a premium position on the board in Olumuyiwa Fashanu. If the Las Vegas Raiders aren't sold on Nix, they can try for Michael Penix Jr. in Round 2.
Shoring up an offensive line that nosedived in run blocking in 2023 is critical. Pairing Fashanu with Kolton Miller means Las Vegas would boast one of the most athletic and physical tackle tandems in the NFL for years to come.
14. New Orleans Saints
Brian Thomas Jr., WR, LSU
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 205 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: The New Orleans Saints could be a major wildcard at No. 14. Derek Carr's future with the franchise will surely come to an end after next season unless there is a massive turnaround in performance. But this roster is built to be competitive for the postseason now, and the chances of a rookie outplaying Carr right away aren’t high enough to justify taking one here.
The Saints are stacked on defense, and the offensive line is good enough not to force a selection on one. Instead, giving Chris Olave an explosive big-play partner solidifies the offense further.
A rotation of Rashid Shaheed, A.T. Perry and Cedrick Wilson Jr. behind Olave and Brian Thomas Jr. would be the fastest in the NFL.
15. Indianapolis Colts
Terrion Arnold, CB, Alabama
Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 209 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: Since the Indianapolis Colts have focused on retaining their talent and adding a couple of backups in free agency, they still need an impact corner. JuJu Brents will theoretically hold down one spot, and Kenny Moore is a premier slot defender. Terrion Arnold is ideal for a defense with young pieces in place around him.
Arnold was a huge riser this season. He's comfortable and capable in man and zone assignments, and his ball production suggests he can be a dangerous playmaker for a unit lacking that type of presence.
16. Seattle Seahawks
Height: 6-foot-2
Weight: 304 pounds
Class: 4-Year Junior
Fit: Comparing the Seattle Seahawks' defensive line to Mike Macdonald's Ravens unit shows a huge discrepancy in size. Baltimore wanted big, physical bodies to wear down blockers and create huge lanes for blitzes. Getting a pass rusher makes sense, but an interior defender who can plug the run game and attack quarterbacks is ideal.
Thankfully, Jer'Zhan Newton is still available. The dominant big man was a wrecking ball throughout 2023, collapsing offenses with little help. A unit with Leonard Williams, Dre'Mont Jones, Newton and a deep group of edge talent can quickly blossom into a fierce one.
17. Chicago Bears (Via Trade With JAX)
Taliese Fuaga, OL, Oregon State
Height: 6-foot-6
Weight: 324 pounds
Class: 4-Year Junior
Fit: Chicago's trade down gives it the perfect opportunity to get value at a positional need. Forecasting a receiver here makes some sense, but don't forget that general manager Ryan Poles is a former offensive lineman. The Bears must give Williams as much time to throw as possible.
Taliese Fuaga is the most physically pulverizing presence in the class. After playing right tackle in college, he'd likely slide into the right guard spot because Darnell Wright is in place. Opponents would fear playing against Teven Jenkins, Wright and Fuaga in cold Chicago weather.
18. Cincinnati Bengals
Xavier Worthy, WR, Texas
Height: 5-foot-11
Weight: 165 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: This pick might give some fans John Ross-induced PTSD, but Ross was a good football player who fell victim to injuries as soon as he entered the league. Xavier Worthy is a lot like Ross — he'll suffer some drops and has a slighter frame — but he's undeniably a game-changing presence. Worthy's 4.21-second speed was evident at Texas.
The Cincinnati Bengals are aggressive with addressing needs, and their signing of Trent Brown to play right tackle opens this pick to be a receiver. Worthy is at his best with the ball in his hands instead of being an elite route-runner, but that complements Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase.
19. Los Angeles Rams
Byron Murphy II, DT, Texas
Height: 6-foot-1
Weight: 297 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: Goodbye, Aaron Donald. Hello, Byron Murphy II?
The Los Angeles Rams can't replace Donald, but they must keep their defensive line stacked with bodies who can get after quarterbacks. Byron Murphy is strong despite being less than 300 pounds, and he has the speed you'd expect for that size. He'd create a strong foundation across from Kobie Turner.
20. Pittsburgh Steelers
Jackson Powers-Johnson, IOL, Oregon
Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 328 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: It's been an unusually aggressive offseason for the Pittsburgh Steelers, but one more strong draft class could push this team back into Super Bowl-dark-horse status. The roster has a good blend of veterans and youngsters, with a need for one more receiver, a center and a tackle. It's a good thing this draft is deep at each spot.
Jackson Powers-Johnson gets the nod here over other excellent talents. The Oregon center will be a top-five player at his position in short order, boasting incredible size and matching power at 328 pounds. But it's his quickness and movement ability that's especially rare, making him a great fit here.
21. Miami Dolphins
Troy Fautanu, OL, Washington
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 317 pounds
Class: 5-Year Junior
Fit: Only Kirk Cousins earned more in free agency than Christian Wilkins did, and it's easy to see why the Miami Dolphins let him depart at $27.5 million a year. Miami maximized those dollars wisely with veterans on both sides of the ball.
Replacing Wilkins is still a priority, but the giant hole left by Robert Hunt at guard is equally pressing. The Dolphins can't continue to ask Tua Tagovailoa to make do with a mediocre line.
Adding Troy Fautanu, a stout and refined tackle at Washington, is a perfect match. Fautanu can play inside and provides a plug-and-play replacement for Hunt.
22. Philadelphia Eagles
Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama
Height: 6-foot
Weight: 199 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: Midway through the 2023 season, it became apparent that the Philadelphia Eagles made a mistake bringing James Bradberry and Darius Slay back on big contracts. Both players looked slow and old suddenly, so adding fresh legs to the cornerback room is critical. The best pure cover man in this draft is Kool-Aid McKinstry.
McKinstry doesn't have Mitchell's elite burst or Arnold's versatility, but he can mirror a receiver with quick feet, terrific instincts and great timing. He's someone who will be a high-floor player right away.
23. Minnesota Vikings
Bo Nix, QB, Oregon
Height: 6-foot-2
Weight: 214 pounds
Class: 5-Year Senior
Fit: Bo Nix may not be the Vikings' target after their trade-up, and maybe they'd take him at No. 11 if there's a sense Denver or Las Vegas would take him right after them. The public is down on Nix for his early-career struggles, but he was a drastically improved player at Oregon. His accuracy, decision-making and playmaking were on display when the Ducks needed him most.
Nix would fit Kevin O'Connell's system well and would be supported by a strong surrounding cast. He has the traits to be a Pro Bowl-caliber starter, which is a win for a mid- to late-first-round pick.
24. Dallas Cowboys
Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 326 pounds
Class: 3-Year Sophomore
Fit: Tyron Smith is in New York on a shockingly affordable, incentive-laden contract. The fact that the Dallas Cowboys didn't care to match it means the team was just over the injury concerns. While Amarius Mims is arguably the most dominant blocker in the draft, he also has durability concerns that might scare the Cowboys away.
Going with Kingsley Suamataia here is easily justifiable. He has elite traits and is dripping in potential as a blindside star for a decade. Dallas is the perfect place to get the most out of his raw talent.
25. Green Bay Packers
Graham Barton, OL, Duke
Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 313 pounds
Class: Senior
Fit: While a cornerback would make sense for the Packers here, Nate Wiggins isn't quite the ideal press option in Jeff Hafley's physical scheme as someone under 185 pounds. Instead, the Green Bay Packers can go with a versatile blocker who can either play left tackle or right guard, depending on how training camp plays out. Duke's Graham Barton is versatile and talented enough to project across the entire line.
Barton is rock solid with his technique and was an elite run blocker throughout 2023. He lacks ideal length (sub-33-inch arms), but he overcomes that with great balance and hand technique.
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Payton Wilson, LB, NC State
Height: 6-foot-4
Weight: 233 pounds
Class: 6-Year Senior
Fit: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers wisely allowed Devin White to depart in free agency, so adding a true heir to Lavonte David is in order. The best linebacker in the class is Payton Wilson, and it isn't close. The 6-foot-4, 233-pounder has incredible speed and range for his size.
The big concern about Wilson was whether he'd check out medically after suffering two torn ACLs between high school and college, a season-ending shoulder injury and hamstring issues. If teams are comfortable with his health, Wilson should come off the board before the end of Round 1.
27. Arizona Cardinals
Laiatu Latu, EDGE, UCLA
Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 265 pounds
Class: Senior
Fit: Arizona has this pick after trading out of the selection that became Will Anderson Jr. in the 2023 NFL Draft. Still needing a star pass-rusher, the Cardinals can grab the most refined option in this class: Laiatu Latu. Coach Jonathan Gannon can use the dynamic specialist like he unleashed Haason Reddick in Philadelphia.
Like Reddick, Latu is far from a stout run defender and struggles to overcome power blockers head-on. He's quicker than he is fast, making him a nightmare for guards and centers to deal with on stunts and delays. Gannon will love Latu's deep move set and knack for finding quarterbacks.
28. Buffalo Bills
Cooper DeJean, DB, Iowa
Height: 6-foot-1
Weight: 203 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: We could see a big run on receivers to finish the first round, but the Buffalo Bills seem like an unlikely starting point for it. Buffalo added Curtis Samuel and Mack Hollins to the receiver room this offseason, giving them five receivers likely to make the final roster alongside three incumbents. The Bills still need to replenish a rebuilding defense.
While Wiggins is the best pure corner and makes sense in a division featuring some of the fastest receivers in the league, Cooper DeJean fits Buffalo in every way possible. He's an incredible playmaker who can move between corner, safety and linebacker on any given drive. DeJean has the athleticism to be the next Micah Hyde for Sean McDermott.
29. Detroit Lions
Keon Coleman, WR, Florida State
Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 213 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: This pick has been a prime landing spot for a cornerback in every mock since the end of the 2023 draft, but the Detroit Lions wisely snagged Carlton Davis via trade with Tampa Bay. Among adding a solid starter in Davis, Cameron Sutton's emergence and Brian Branch's presence mean the Lions can wait to add a body to the room. The signings of Marcus Davenport and D.J. Reader also crossed off a few other team needs.
Keon Coleman just makes a ton of sense from a value and missing piece standpoint. He's a true alpha X receiver who can chase down deep lobs with ease. Detroit brought Donovan Peoples-Jones in to be a similar threat, but Peoples-Jones' lack of impact in 2023 means he's replaceable for someone far more reliable and explosive.
30. Baltimore Ravens
Darius Robinson, EDGE, Missouri
Height: 6-foot-5
Weight: 285 pounds
Class: 5-Year Senior
Fit: Remember when the Baltimore Ravens brought in Jadeveon Clowney last year? He produced 9.5 sacks, tying a career-high. Now, Baltimore could add a young version of Clowney in Darius Robinson.
Robinson didn't produce the hype Clowney had in college, but the 6-foot-5, 285-pounder has the same physicality, versatility and bricks for hands needed to be effective. Baltimore will love his NFL-ready body, the fact he dominated the Senior Bowl against top-tier blockers and his relentless motor that produced 8.5 sacks in 2023.
31. San Francisco 49ers
Amarius Mims, OT, Georgia
Height: 6-foot-3
Weight: 254 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: This pick could be a wide receiver if the San Francisco 49ers can't hammer out a deal with Brandon Aiyuk soon. But the franchise should be all-in because they're on the doorstep of a Super Bowl win, and losing Ayiuk would sting. Upgrading the right tackle situation is more dire.
Giving Amarius Mims to a team that already has Trent Williams on one side is kind of mean-spirited toward the defenders they'll face. Mims is the most impressive blocker in years, but he only played 801 career snaps at Georgia. He'd be taken much higher if he were more reliable.
32. Kansas City Chiefs
Troy Franklin, WR, Oregon
Height: 6-foot-2
Weight: 176 pounds
Class: Junior
Fit: The Kansas City Chiefs signed Marquise Brown for next to nothing because he wanted to play with Patrick Mahomes. While many think of Brown's blazing speed, he's largely been a possession receiver throughout his career, averaging 11.6 yards per catch. He'll form a nice duo with Rashee Rice, but more talent is needed in the room.
Coleman might be the dream addition, but Troy Franklin gets the nod here because Coleman is off the board. Franklin would be the true deep threat of the trio, boasting a long stride that creates easy separation from defenders. Plus, he's experienced playing from the slot or as an outside receiver, which is unusual for a 6-foot-2 vertical playmaker.