Analysis

12/7/22

14 min read

Matthew Hill's NFL Week 14 Fantasy Football Rankings

By Matthew Hill

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This article features my complete rankings for NFL Week 14 and blubs highlighting players I have above or below consensus, according to how my rankings match up with the FantasyPros Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR).

My initial rankings are my first impressions of players based on matchups and recent trends. Look for updated rankings and additional player blurbs throughout the week as new information presents itself.

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Top 20 Quarterbacks

• Geno Smith has five top-seven finishes on the season, has thrown for multiple touchdowns in 10 of 12 games and has four 320+ yard games. Smith has been elite all season, and while his ECR of QB is high, it might be several spots too low in a home game vs. Carolina.
• Jared Goff finished as QB4 last week, his third top-eight outing of the year. His weapons are getting healthy. Their first-round pick Jameson Williams made his debut, and D'Andre Swift played more than half the team's snaps for the first time this season. Goff is a low-end QB1 with upside in a home contest vs. Minnesota.
• Tyler Huntley posted 16 fantasy points in only three quarters after Lamar Jackson left with a knee injury. While there is early optimism Jackson's injury is not season-ending, chances are good Huntley will get the start against the Steelers in Week 14. Huntley has an overall QB1 week on his resume when he combined for four touchdowns (two pass/three run), ran for 74 yards on 13 carries in Week 15 last season.
• Daniel Jones has finished as a QB1 twice in the past three weeks. This week, he'll play an Eagles team that will force him to air the ball out to keep up with Jalen Hurts. New York has asked more of Jones recently. He has attempted 110 passes and added 135 yards rushing with a score since Week 11.

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Top 50 Running Backs

• Christian McCaffrey appears back to being an every-week, overall RB1 contender after rushing for 66 yards on 17 carries and securing eight of 10 targets for an additional 80 yards and a score. Jordan Mason is a top-tier handcuff, the only other San Francisco running back to record a touch last week, rushing for 51 yards on eight carries. 
• Swift has seen his snap share increase each of the past three weeks (30%, 39%, 51%) and is coming off an 18-touch performance where he finished as Week 13's RB5. Swift is a high-end RB2 with upside against the Vikings. 
• Swift is trending up, and Jamaal Williams is going in the opposite direction. Williams continues to be a total non-factor in the passing game, having not seen a target since Week 8. With Swift seeing more than half the offensive snaps and doubling Williams' Week 13 red zone touches (8-4), Williams' fantasy value is plummeting. 
• Zonovan Knight logged 15 of 20 of the Jets' running back carries, rushed for 90 yards and caught all five of his targets for an additional 28 yards. Ty Johnson did see seven targets and should retain a significant passing-down role, but Knight looks to be an undervalued lead back for as long as Michael Carter remains out.*UPDATE* Michael Carter returned to full practice and is expected to play. Knight should retain a role, possibly significant, but he slides multiple spots.
• The James Cook breakout is happening, but you would never know it by looking at his consensus ranking. Cook has an early ECR in the '30s, only a few slots ahead of players like Johnson, Kyren Williams and Dontrell Hilliard. While I expect his ECR to correct itself over the week, people will remain hesitant to buy in until they "see it one more time." His 20 Week 13 touches, including six receptions, should be enough evidence Buffalo is ready to give their rookie a significant role. He's a low-end RB2 with upside in my initial rankings.

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Top 65 Wide Receivers

• Nico Collins has been trending up in recent weeks. Brandin Cooks being an early inactive with a calf injury only solidified Collins' claim to Houston's No.1 receiver chair. Collins has seen nine or more targets in three of four games, finding the end zone twice.*UPDATE* Nico Collins is out for Sunday. Chris Moore and Phillip Dorsett get small bumps in a brutal matchup at Dallas.
• Garrett Wilson breaking out with a pair of back-to-back top-10 finishes has been glorious. It has also allowed Corey Davis' 10-target Week 13 to go largely overlooked. With the high-powered Bills offense up next, Mike White may need a repeat of last week's 57 attempts to keep pace, which puts Davis back on the WR3/flex radar. 
• Both Keenan Allen and Josh Palmer saw elite usage in Week 13, combining for 24 of the Chargers' 27 wide receiver targets. Until Mike Williams returns, LAC's targets should remain consolidated in a game featuring an early 52-point total.*UPDATE* So much for consolidated targets. Mike Williams is looking good for Sunday, sliding Palmer into WR3 range with Williams. Keenan Allen remains a strong WR2 with upside in PPR.
• Jerry Jeudy brought in all four of his targets for 65 yards in Week 13 and now takes on the Chiefs as Denver's clear WR1, with Courtland Sutton's status for this weekend uncertain. His ECR of WR34 is much too low.*UPDATE* Sutton is officially out for the Sunday and Jeudy’s ECR is now WR26. I have him at WR23, with Kendall Hinton becoming an interesting DFS dart throw.
• The absence of Hayden Hurst should benefit Tyler Boyd, especially with defenses focused on containing Cincinnati's stud outside receivers and surging running game. Boyd's ECR of WR38 is several spots too low.
• Michael Gallup's two Sunday night scores are the headline. However, he's seen at least seven targets in three of his last four games, which is more important for his consistency in the future. He is the locked-in, No.2 wide receiver for Dallas. 
• Williams making his debut for the Lions in Week 13 was exciting news for the future of the Lions' offense. Until he works his way back to full health, however, the No.2 Detroit receiver of the present appears to be DJ Chark. Chark has seen his snaps increase dramatically during the past three weeks since his return from injury (14%, 78%, 86%) and is coming off a five-catch 98-yard outing in Week 13.
• Jakobi Meyers remains in concussion protocol and is highly questionable for Monday night. While Patriots receivers are difficult to trust, Nelson Agholor gets the biggest bump. Agholor was WR14 in Week 12 when he posted a 6/65/1 line, playing 76% of the snaps. A similar snap share could be on tap Week 14.

Top 22 Tight Ends

• Hunter Henry has been maddeningly inconsistent this year, but he has seen five targets in back-to-back weeks and gets the Cardinals, who have been ripped by tight ends all season. He is a borderline TE1 with upside this week.
• Daniel Bellinger caught all five of his targets, playing all but two snaps in his return from eye surgery. Bellinger was the only Giant tight end to be targeted and is a locked-in TE2 the rest of the way. 
• Chigoziem Okonkwo has now surpassed 30 yards receiving in five straight games after bringing in four of five targets for 68 yards in Week 13. He may be asked to take on a greater role with Treylon Burks in concussion protocol.
• Mitchell Wilcox had a 65% snap share, running 18 routes in relief of Hayden Hurst. Cleveland has not allowed a tight end to crest 70 yards this season, so expectations are tempered, but any player playing significant snaps in a surging Bengals offense is interesting.

WATCH: Week 14 Waiver Wire Show

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Matthew Hill

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Writing and providing draft and in-season rankings since 2014, Matthew Hill was chosen FantasyPro's “Most Accurate Expert” for 2018. In addition to his 2018 first place in-season accuracy finish, Matthew’s draft rankings are among the industry's most accurate, finishing in the top 12 for 2019 to 2021.